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Predictions › United States › Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs
College FootballSat 7 Nov, 16:15 United States time

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs prediction

Davis Wade Stadium

Vanderbilt CommodoresAway
27.1 : 30.5
projected points
Mississippi State BulldogsHome
47%Vanderbilt
53%Mississippi St
Eagle safe pickOver 47.5 points
-296

Quick answer

Our prediction for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs is Mississippi State Bulldogs to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Vanderbilt Commodores 27.1 and Mississippi State Bulldogs 30.5. Our best bet is Over 47.5 points at -296.

Prediction
Mississippi State Bulldogs to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Vanderbilt Commodores 27, Mississippi State Bulldogs 31
Projected total
57.6 points
Best bet
Over 47.5 points at -296

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 47.5 points
75% chanceFair price -2961 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Vanderbilt to win
41% chanceFair price +1441 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Mississippi State Bulldogs 53% and Vanderbilt Commodores 47%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Mississippi State Bulldogs won 2 of their last 5 and Vanderbilt Commodores won 0 of their last 5. Mississippi State Bulldogs come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Mississippi State Bulldogs won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Vanderbilt Commodores won 2 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Mississippi State Bulldogs score 30.4 points a game and let in 30.6. Vanderbilt Commodores score 31.2 and let in 27.2. Their recent games average 60.9 and 58.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 47.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs: Mississippi State Bulldogs shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Mississippi State Bulldogs host Vanderbilt Commodores in the College Football on Sat 7 Nov, 16:15 at Davis Wade Stadium. Our prediction for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs is Mississippi State Bulldogs to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Vanderbilt Commodores 27.1 and Mississippi State Bulldogs 30.5. Our best bet is Over 47.5 points at -296.

Mississippi State Bulldogs form

Mississippi State Bulldogs have 7 wins and 11 losses in their last 18 games, with 547 points scored and 550 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Vanderbilt Commodores form

Vanderbilt Commodores have 11 wins and 8 losses in their last 19 games, with 593 points scored and 516 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Vanderbilt Commodores to score about 27.1 points and Mississippi State Bulldogs about 30.5. That points to Mississippi State Bulldogs to win. Our safest bet is Over 47.5 points at -296. Our bold bet is Vanderbilt to win at +144.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

Mississippi StVanderbilt
Games played1819
Wins711
Losses118
Points scored547593
Points conceded550516
Scored per game30.431.2
Conceded per game30.627.2
Home record4W 7L9W 3L
Away record3W 4L2W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Mississippi St spreadCoversFair
Mississippi St -10.533%+204
Mississippi St -6.542%+136
Mississippi St -3.550%+101
Mississippi St -0.557%-134
Mississippi St +3.567%-200
Total pointsOverUnder
50.567%33%
54.558%42%
57.550%50%
60.543%57%
64.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Mississippi St +3.5 wins if Mississippi St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Mississippi State Aims for Taylor and Bothwell Returns Against Oklahoma

Mississippi State quarterback Kamario Taylor and running back Fluff Bothwell could return to the lineup this Saturday against Oklahoma.

24 Oct 2026
College Football

Mississippi State Offense Takes Big Hit Ahead of LSU Trip

Mississippi State downgraded quarterback Kamario Taylor and rusher Fluff Bothwell to doubtful for Saturday's contest at LSU.

17 Oct 2026
College Football

Kamario Taylor Foot Injury Clouds Mississippi State Clash With LSU

Mississippi State quarterback Kamario Taylor is questionable for Saturday's game at LSU due to an ongoing foot injury.

13 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?

Our prediction for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs is Mississippi State Bulldogs to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Vanderbilt Commodores 27.1 and Mississippi State Bulldogs 30.5. Our best bet is Over 47.5 points at -296.

What is the projected score for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?

We project Vanderbilt Commodores 27.1 and Mississippi State Bulldogs 30.5, about 57.6 points in total.

How are Mississippi State Bulldogs playing?

Mississippi State Bulldogs have 7 wins and 11 losses in their last 18 games, with 547 points scored and 550 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Vanderbilt Commodores playing?

Vanderbilt Commodores have 11 wins and 8 losses in their last 19 games, with 593 points scored and 516 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?

Over 47.5 points at -296, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mississippi St against Vanderbilt. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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