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Predictions › Brazil › Vasco da Gama vs Remo
BrasileiraoSat 10 Oct, 20:00 Brazil time

Vasco da Gama vs Remo prediction

Estádio São Januário

Vasco da GamaHome
2.18 : 1.08
expected goals
RemoAway
62%Vasco
21%Draw
17%Remo
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Vasco da Gama vs Remo is Vasco da Gama to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction
Vasco da Gama to win
Chance
62%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Vasco da Gama 2.2, Remo 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Vasco da Gama to win and Over 2.5
42% chanceFair price 2.401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Vasco da Gama 62%, the draw 21% and Remo 17%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Vasco da Gama took 9 points from their last 5 games and Remo took 0 from 5. Vasco da Gama come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Vasco da Gama won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Remo won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Vasco da Gama score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Remo score 1.1 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Vasco da Gama games and 11 of Remo games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Vasco da Gama won 0 and Remo won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Remo 1, Vasco da Gama 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Vascorecent form+3%
  • Remorecent form-7%
Vasco form W W W D LRemo form L L L L LHome edge in this league 38% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Vasco da Gama vs Remo: Vasco da Gama are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Vasco da Gama host Remo in the Brasileirao on Sat 10 Oct, 20:00 at Estádio São Januário. Our prediction for Vasco da Gama vs Remo is Vasco da Gama to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Vasco da Gama form

Vasco da Gama have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Remo form

Remo have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Vasco da Gama won 0, Remo won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Remo 1, Vasco da Gama 1.

Our call

We expect Vasco da Gama to score about 2.2 goals and Remo about 1.1. That points to Vasco da Gama to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Vasco da Gama to win and Over 2.5 at 2.40.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

VascoRemo
Games played2020
Wins64
Draws55
Losses911
Goals scored2322
Goals conceded2932
Scored per game1.11.1
Conceded per game1.41.6
Home record5W 1D 4L2W 3D 5L
Away record1W 4D 5L2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets15%15%
Both teams scored55%65%
Over 2.5 goals55%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%1.58
Over 3.5 goals41%2.44
Both teams to score59%1.69
Vasco da Gama or Draw83%1.21
Remo or Draw38%2.62
Vasco da Gama to win and Over 2.545%2.23
Remo to win and Over 2.511%8.78
Vasco da Gama clean sheet34%2.94
Remo clean sheet11%8.82

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.9%
1-19.6%
2-09.1%
1-07.9%
3-17.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Vasco da Gama vs Remo?

Our prediction for Vasco da Gama vs Remo is Vasco da Gama to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Vasco da Gama vs Remo?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Vasco da Gama to score 2.2 goals and Remo 1.1.

Will both teams score in Vasco da Gama vs Remo?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Vasco da Gama last 20 games and 13 of Remo last 20.

How are Vasco da Gama playing?

Vasco da Gama have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Remo playing?

Remo have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Vasco da Gama and Remo last met?

It ended Remo 1, Vasco da Gama 1. In the last 1 meeting Vasco da Gama won 0 and Remo won 0.

What is the best bet for Vasco da Gama vs Remo?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Vasco against Remo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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