Predictions › Sweden › Västerås SK vs IF Brommapojkarna

AllsvenskanSun 1 Nov, 15:30 Sweden time

Västerås SK vs IF Brommapojkarna prediction

Hitachi Energy Arena

Västerås SKHome

1.95 : 1.26

expected goals

IF BrommapojkarnaAway

53%Västerås

23%Draw

24%Brommapojkar

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Västerås SK vs IF Brommapojkarna is Västerås SK to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction: Västerås SK to win
Chance: 53%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Västerås SK 1.9, IF Brommapojkarna 1.3
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score: 62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

83% chanceFair price 1.202 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Västerås SK to win and Over 2.5

38% chanceFair price 2.621 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Västerås SK 53%, the draw 23% and IF Brommapojkarna 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Västerås SK took 9 points from their last 5 games and IF Brommapojkarna took 6 from 5. Västerås SK come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Västerås SK won 5 of their last 10 games at home. IF Brommapojkarna won 3 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Västerås SK score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. IF Brommapojkarna score 1.5 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Västerås SK games and 13 of IF Brommapojkarna games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Västerås SK won 1 and IF Brommapojkarna won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended IF Brommapojkarna 1, Västerås SK 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Västerås form D L W W LBrommapojkar form D W L L WHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Västerås SK vs IF Brommapojkarna: Västerås SK are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Västerås SK host IF Brommapojkarna in the Allsvenskan on Sun 1 Nov, 15:30 at Hitachi Energy Arena. Our prediction for Västerås SK vs IF Brommapojkarna is Västerås SK to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Västerås SK form

Västerås SK have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

IF Brommapojkarna form

IF Brommapojkarna have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Västerås SK won 1, IF Brommapojkarna won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished IF Brommapojkarna 1, Västerås SK 2.

Our call

We expect Västerås SK to score about 1.9 goals and IF Brommapojkarna about 1.3. That points to Västerås SK to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Västerås SK to win and Over 2.5 at 2.62.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Västerås	Brommapojkar
Games played	20	20
Wins	10	7
Draws	3	4
Losses	7	9
Goals scored	28	30
Goals conceded	27	35
Scored per game	1.4	1.5
Conceded per game	1.4	1.8
Home record	5W 2D 3L	4W 2D 5L
Away record	5W 1D 4L	3W 2D 4L
Clean sheets	35%	10%
Both teams scored	35%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	84%	1.19
Over 2.5 goals	62%	1.60
Over 3.5 goals	40%	2.49
Both teams to score	62%	1.61
Västerås SK or Draw	76%	1.32
IF Brommapojkarna or Draw	47%	2.12
Västerås SK to win and Over 2.5	38%	2.63
IF Brommapojkarna to win and Over 2.5	16%	6.13
Västerås SK clean sheet	28%	3.54
IF Brommapojkarna clean sheet	14%	7.05

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.5%

2-19.7%

2-07.6%

1-07.2%

3-16.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Västerås SK vs IF Brommapojkarna?

Our prediction for Västerås SK vs IF Brommapojkarna is Västerås SK to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Västerås SK vs IF Brommapojkarna?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Västerås SK to score 1.9 goals and IF Brommapojkarna 1.3.

Will both teams score in Västerås SK vs IF Brommapojkarna?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Västerås SK last 20 games and 14 of IF Brommapojkarna last 20.

How are Västerås SK playing?

How are IF Brommapojkarna playing?

What happened when Västerås SK and IF Brommapojkarna last met?

It ended IF Brommapojkarna 1, Västerås SK 2. In the last 1 meeting Västerås SK won 1 and IF Brommapojkarna won 0.

What is the best bet for Västerås SK vs IF Brommapojkarna?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Västerås against Brommapojkar. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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