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Predictions › Sweden › Västerås SK vs Malmö FF
AllsvenskanSat 19 Sept, 13:00 Sweden time

Västerås SK vs Malmö FF prediction

Hitachi Energy Arena

Västerås SKHome
1.12 : 1.21
expected goals
Malmö FFAway
33%Västerås
30%Draw
37%Malmö
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Västerås SK vs Malmö FF is Malmö FF to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
Malmö FF to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Västerås SK 1.1, Malmö FF 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.151 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Västerås SK 33%, the draw 30% and Malmö FF 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Västerås SK took 7 points from their last 5 games and Malmö FF took 7 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Västerås SK won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Malmö FF won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Västerås SK score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.8. Malmö FF score 1.6 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Västerås SK games and 13 of Malmö FF games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Västerås SK won 1 and Malmö FF won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Malmö FF 2, Västerås SK 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Västeråsrest between games-5%
Västerås form W L W D LMalmö form D W L W LHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Västerås SK vs Malmö FF: Malmö FF shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Västerås SK host Malmö FF in the Allsvenskan on Sat 19 Sept, 13:00 at Hitachi Energy Arena. Our prediction for Västerås SK vs Malmö FF is Malmö FF to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Västerås SK form

Västerås SK have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Malmö FF form

Malmö FF have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Västerås SK won 1, Malmö FF won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Malmö FF 2, Västerås SK 3.

Our call

We expect Västerås SK to score about 1.1 goals and Malmö FF about 1.2. That points to Malmö FF to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.15.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

VästeråsMalmö
Games played2020
Wins89
Draws53
Losses78
Goals scored3133
Goals conceded3530
Scored per game1.61.6
Conceded per game1.81.5
Home record3W 4D 3L3W 1D 6L
Away record5W 1D 4L6W 2D 2L
Clean sheets25%35%
Both teams scored50%60%
Over 2.5 goals60%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals68%1.46
Over 2.5 goals41%2.44
Over 3.5 goals21%4.86
Both teams to score48%2.08
Västerås SK or Draw63%1.60
Malmö FF or Draw67%1.49
Västerås SK to win and Over 2.517%6.00
Malmö FF to win and Over 2.519%5.20
Västerås SK clean sheet30%3.35
Malmö FF clean sheet33%3.06

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.0%
0-111.0%
0-010.6%
1-010.1%
1-28.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Västerås SK vs Malmö FF?

Our prediction for Västerås SK vs Malmö FF is Malmö FF to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Västerås SK vs Malmö FF?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Västerås SK to score 1.1 goals and Malmö FF 1.2.

Will both teams score in Västerås SK vs Malmö FF?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Västerås SK last 20 games and 12 of Malmö FF last 20.

How are Västerås SK playing?

Västerås SK have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Malmö FF playing?

Malmö FF have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Västerås SK and Malmö FF last met?

It ended Malmö FF 2, Västerås SK 3. In the last 1 meeting Västerås SK won 1 and Malmö FF won 0.

What is the best bet for Västerås SK vs Malmö FF?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.21, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Västerås against Malmö. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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