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Predictions › Sweden › Västerås SK vs Mjällby AIF
AllsvenskanSun 18 Oct, 12:00 Sweden time

Västerås SK vs Mjällby AIF prediction

Hitachi Energy Arena

Västerås SKHome
1.63 : 1.14
expected goals
Mjällby AIFAway
48%Västerås
26%Draw
26%Mjällby
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Västerås SK vs Mjällby AIF is Västerås SK to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction
Västerås SK to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Västerås SK 1.6, Mjällby AIF 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Västerås SK to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price 3.371 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Västerås SK 48%, the draw 26% and Mjällby AIF 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Västerås SK took 10 points from their last 5 games and Mjällby AIF took 2 from 5. Västerås SK come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Västerås SK won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Mjällby AIF won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Västerås SK score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.6. Mjällby AIF score 1.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Västerås SK games and 10 of Mjällby AIF games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Västerås SK won 0 and Mjällby AIF won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Mjällby AIF 0, Västerås SK 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Västeråsrecent form+3%
  • Mjällbyrecent form-4%
Västerås form W W L W DMjällby form L D D L LHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Västerås SK vs Mjällby AIF: Västerås SK are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Västerås SK host Mjällby AIF in the Allsvenskan on Sun 18 Oct, 12:00 at Hitachi Energy Arena. Our prediction for Västerås SK vs Mjällby AIF is Västerås SK to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Västerås SK form

Västerås SK have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Mjällby AIF form

Mjällby AIF have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Västerås SK won 0, Mjällby AIF won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Mjällby AIF 0, Västerås SK 0.

Our call

We expect Västerås SK to score about 1.6 goals and Mjällby AIF about 1.1. That points to Västerås SK to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Västerås SK to win and Over 2.5 at 3.37.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

VästeråsMjällby
Games played2020
Wins95
Draws47
Losses78
Goals scored3127
Goals conceded3333
Scored per game1.61.4
Conceded per game1.61.6
Home record4W 3D 3L3W 1D 6L
Away record5W 1D 4L2W 6D 2L
Clean sheets30%20%
Both teams scored45%55%
Over 2.5 goals55%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.30
Over 2.5 goals52%1.91
Over 3.5 goals30%3.32
Both teams to score55%1.81
Västerås SK or Draw74%1.35
Mjällby AIF or Draw52%1.92
Västerås SK to win and Over 2.530%3.31
Mjällby AIF to win and Over 2.515%6.47
Västerås SK clean sheet32%3.13
Mjällby AIF clean sheet20%5.09

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.4%
1-09.5%
2-19.5%
2-08.3%
0-07.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Västerås SK vs Mjällby AIF?

Our prediction for Västerås SK vs Mjällby AIF is Västerås SK to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Västerås SK vs Mjällby AIF?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Västerås SK to score 1.6 goals and Mjällby AIF 1.1.

Will both teams score in Västerås SK vs Mjällby AIF?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Västerås SK last 20 games and 11 of Mjällby AIF last 20.

How are Västerås SK playing?

Västerås SK have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Mjällby AIF playing?

Mjällby AIF have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Västerås SK and Mjällby AIF last met?

It ended Mjällby AIF 0, Västerås SK 0. In the last 1 meeting Västerås SK won 0 and Mjällby AIF won 0.

What is the best bet for Västerås SK vs Mjällby AIF?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Västerås against Mjällby. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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