Predictions › United States › Vegas Golden Knights vs Minnesota Wild
NHLMon 12 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Vegas Golden Knights vs Minnesota Wild prediction

Grand Casino Arena

Vegas Golden KnightsAway
2.9 : 2.8
projected goals
Minnesota WildHome
53%Golden Knights
47%Wild
Eagle safe pickWild +2
-413

Quick answer

Our prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs Minnesota Wild is Vegas Golden Knights to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Vegas Golden Knights 2.9 and Minnesota Wild 2.8. Our best bet is Wild +2 at -413.

Prediction
Vegas Golden Knights to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Vegas Golden Knights 3, Minnesota Wild 3
Projected total
5.7 goals
Best bet
Wild +2 at -413

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Wild +2
81% chanceFair price -4132 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Minnesota Wild 47% and Vegas Golden Knights 53%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Minnesota Wild won 2 of their last 5 and Vegas Golden Knights won 4 of their last 5. Vegas Golden Knights come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Minnesota Wild won 5 of their last 8 games at home. Vegas Golden Knights won 7 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Minnesota Wild score 3.1 goals a game and let in 3.3. Vegas Golden Knights score 3.4 and let in 2.8. Their recent games average 6.3 and 6.2 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Minnesota Wild won 3 and Vegas Golden Knights won 0. The last one ended Vegas Golden Knights 2, Minnesota Wild 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Wild +2 has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Wildrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Vegas Golden Knights vs Minnesota Wild: Vegas Golden Knights shade it

The big picture

Minnesota Wild host Vegas Golden Knights in the NHL on Mon 12 Oct, 20:00 at Grand Casino Arena. Our prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs Minnesota Wild is Vegas Golden Knights to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Vegas Golden Knights 2.9 and Minnesota Wild 2.8. Our best bet is Wild +2 at -413.

Minnesota Wild form

Minnesota Wild have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 62 goals scored and 65 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Vegas Golden Knights form

Vegas Golden Knights have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 68 goals scored and 56 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Minnesota Wild won 3, Vegas Golden Knights won 0. Last time out it finished Vegas Golden Knights 2, Minnesota Wild 4.

Our call

We expect Vegas Golden Knights to score about 2.9 goals and Minnesota Wild about 2.8. That points to Vegas Golden Knights to win. Our safest bet is Wild +2 at -413.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WildGolden Knights
Games played2020
Wins813
Losses127
Goals scored6268
Goals conceded6556
Scored per game3.13.4
Conceded per game3.32.8
Home record5W 3L6W 4L
Away record3W 9L7W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Wild spreadCoversFair
Wild -0.541%+142
Wild +0.558%-137
Wild +1.573%-271
Total goalsOverUnder
4.570%30%
5.553%47%
6.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Wild +3.5 wins if Wild win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Vegas Golden Knights vs Minnesota Wild?

Our prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs Minnesota Wild is Vegas Golden Knights to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Vegas Golden Knights 2.9 and Minnesota Wild 2.8. Our best bet is Wild +2 at -413.

What is the projected score for Vegas Golden Knights vs Minnesota Wild?

We project Vegas Golden Knights 2.9 and Minnesota Wild 2.8, about 5.7 goals in total.

How are Minnesota Wild playing?

Minnesota Wild have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 62 goals scored and 65 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Vegas Golden Knights playing?

Vegas Golden Knights have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 68 goals scored and 56 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Minnesota Wild and Vegas Golden Knights last met?

It ended Vegas Golden Knights 2, Minnesota Wild 4. In the last 3 meetings Minnesota Wild won 3 and Vegas Golden Knights won 0.

What is the best bet for Vegas Golden Knights vs Minnesota Wild?

Wild +2 at -413, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wild against Golden Knights. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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