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Predictions › United States › Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins
NHLTue 3 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction

PPG Paints Arena

Vegas Golden KnightsAway
3.3 : 3.2
projected goals
Pittsburgh PenguinsHome
54%Golden Knights
46%Penguins
Eagle safe pickPenguins +2
-463

Quick answer

Our prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins is Vegas Golden Knights to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Vegas Golden Knights 3.3 and Pittsburgh Penguins 3.2. Our best bet is Penguins +2 at -463.

Prediction
Vegas Golden Knights to win
Chance
54%
Projected score
Vegas Golden Knights 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 3
Projected total
6.5 goals
Best bet
Penguins +2 at -463

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Penguins +2
82% chanceFair price -4632 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Pittsburgh Penguins 46% and Vegas Golden Knights 54%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Pittsburgh Penguins won 2 of their last 5 and Vegas Golden Knights won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Pittsburgh Penguins won 6 of their last 8 games at home. Vegas Golden Knights won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Pittsburgh Penguins score 3.0 goals a game and let in 3.1. Vegas Golden Knights score 3.3 and let in 3.0. Their recent games average 6.2 and 6.3 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Pittsburgh Penguins won 1 and Vegas Golden Knights won 2. The last one ended Vegas Golden Knights 6, Pittsburgh Penguins 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Penguins +2 has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Penguinsrest between games-5%
  • Golden Knightsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Vegas Golden Knights shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Pittsburgh Penguins host Vegas Golden Knights in the NHL on Tue 3 Nov, 19:00 at PPG Paints Arena. Our prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins is Vegas Golden Knights to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Vegas Golden Knights 3.3 and Pittsburgh Penguins 3.2. Our best bet is Penguins +2 at -463.

Pittsburgh Penguins form

Pittsburgh Penguins have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 60 goals scored and 63 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Vegas Golden Knights form

Vegas Golden Knights have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 65 goals scored and 61 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Pittsburgh Penguins won 1, Vegas Golden Knights won 2. Last time out it finished Vegas Golden Knights 6, Pittsburgh Penguins 2.

Our call

We expect Vegas Golden Knights to score about 3.3 goals and Pittsburgh Penguins about 3.2. That points to Vegas Golden Knights to win. Our safest bet is Penguins +2 at -463.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PenguinsGolden Knights
Games played2020
Wins911
Losses119
Goals scored6065
Goals conceded6361
Scored per game3.03.3
Conceded per game3.13.0
Home record6W 2L6W 5L
Away record3W 9L5W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Penguins spreadCoversFair
Penguins -0.541%+145
Penguins +0.557%-134
Penguins +1.573%-265
Total goalsOverUnder
5.567%33%
6.550%50%
7.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Penguins +3.5 wins if Penguins win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Ben Kindel Returns to Pittsburgh Following Mid Flight Medical Emergency

Pittsburgh Penguins forward Ben Kindel is recovering in Pittsburgh after collapsing during a team flight back from Utah on Tuesday.

22 Oct 2026
NHL

Ben Kindel Hospitalized After Emergency on Penguins Flight

Pittsburgh forward Ben Kindel is stable in a Utah hospital after a medical emergency caused the team plane to return to Salt Lake City.

20 Oct 2026
NHL

Vegas Locks Up Original Misfit William Karlsson With Two Year Extension

The Vegas Golden Knights have signed center William Karlsson to a two year, 13.5 million dollar contract extension.

30 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins?

Our prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins is Vegas Golden Knights to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Vegas Golden Knights 3.3 and Pittsburgh Penguins 3.2. Our best bet is Penguins +2 at -463.

What is the projected score for Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins?

We project Vegas Golden Knights 3.3 and Pittsburgh Penguins 3.2, about 6.5 goals in total.

How are Pittsburgh Penguins playing?

Pittsburgh Penguins have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 60 goals scored and 63 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Vegas Golden Knights playing?

Vegas Golden Knights have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 65 goals scored and 61 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Pittsburgh Penguins and Vegas Golden Knights last met?

It ended Vegas Golden Knights 6, Pittsburgh Penguins 2. In the last 3 meetings Pittsburgh Penguins won 1 and Vegas Golden Knights won 2.

What is the best bet for Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins?

Penguins +2 at -463, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Penguins against Golden Knights. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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