PredictionsUnited StatesVegas Golden Knights vs San Jose Sharks
NHLTue 22 Sept, 22:00 United States time

Vegas Golden Knights vs San Jose Sharks prediction

SAP Center at San Jose

Vegas Golden KnightsAway
3.4 : 2.9
projected goals
San Jose SharksHome
63%Golden Knights
37%Sharks
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-452

Quick answer

Our prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs San Jose Sharks is Vegas Golden Knights to win, with a 63% chance. We project Vegas Golden Knights 3.4 and San Jose Sharks 2.9. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -452.

Prediction
Vegas Golden Knights to win
Chance
63%
Projected score
Vegas Golden Knights 3, San Jose Sharks 3
Projected total
6.3 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -452

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
82% chanceFair price -4522 units

Eagle bold pick

Sharks to win
37% chanceFair price +1721 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives San Jose Sharks 37% and Vegas Golden Knights 63%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    San Jose Sharks won 2 of their last 5 and Vegas Golden Knights won 1 of their last 5. San Jose Sharks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    San Jose Sharks won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Vegas Golden Knights won 7 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    San Jose Sharks score 3.0 goals a game and let in 3.7. Vegas Golden Knights score 3.5 and let in 2.9. Their recent games average 6.7 and 6.3 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, San Jose Sharks won 1 and Vegas Golden Knights won 4. The last one ended San Jose Sharks 2, Vegas Golden Knights 7.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sharksrest between games-3%
  • Golden Knightsrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Vegas Golden Knights vs San Jose Sharks: Vegas Golden Knights are favourites

The big picture

San Jose Sharks host Vegas Golden Knights in the NHL on Tue 22 Sept, 22:00 at SAP Center at San Jose. Our prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs San Jose Sharks is Vegas Golden Knights to win, with a 63% chance. We project Vegas Golden Knights 3.4 and San Jose Sharks 2.9. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -452.

San Jose Sharks form

San Jose Sharks have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 59 goals scored and 74 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Vegas Golden Knights form

Vegas Golden Knights have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 57 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. San Jose Sharks won 1, Vegas Golden Knights won 4. Last time out it finished San Jose Sharks 2, Vegas Golden Knights 7.

Our call

We expect Vegas Golden Knights to score about 3.4 goals and San Jose Sharks about 2.9. That points to Vegas Golden Knights to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -452. Our bold bet is Sharks to win at +172.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SharksGolden Knights
Games played2020
Wins913
Losses117
Goals scored5970
Goals conceded7457
Scored per game3.03.5
Conceded per game3.72.9
Home record4W 5L6W 3L
Away record5W 6L7W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Sharks spreadCoversFair
Sharks -0.533%+202
Sharks +0.549%+103
Sharks +1.565%-189
Total goalsOverUnder
5.563%37%
6.546%54%
7.530%70%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Sharks +3.5 wins if Sharks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Vegas Golden Knights vs San Jose Sharks?

Our prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs San Jose Sharks is Vegas Golden Knights to win, with a 63% chance. We project Vegas Golden Knights 3.4 and San Jose Sharks 2.9. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -452.

What is the projected score for Vegas Golden Knights vs San Jose Sharks?

We project Vegas Golden Knights 3.4 and San Jose Sharks 2.9, about 6.3 goals in total.

How are San Jose Sharks playing?

San Jose Sharks have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 59 goals scored and 74 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Vegas Golden Knights playing?

Vegas Golden Knights have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 57 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when San Jose Sharks and Vegas Golden Knights last met?

It ended San Jose Sharks 2, Vegas Golden Knights 7. In the last 5 meetings San Jose Sharks won 1 and Vegas Golden Knights won 4.

What is the best bet for Vegas Golden Knights vs San Jose Sharks?

Under 8 goals at -452, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sharks against Golden Knights. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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