Predictions › United States › Vegas Golden Knights vs Seattle Kraken
NHLTue 6 Oct, 21:00 United States time

Vegas Golden Knights vs Seattle Kraken prediction

Climate Pledge Arena

Vegas Golden KnightsAway
3.1 : 2.9
projected goals
Seattle KrakenHome
58%Golden Knights
42%Kraken
Eagle safe pickOver 4 goals
-431

Quick answer

Our prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs Seattle Kraken is Vegas Golden Knights to win, with a 58% chance. We project Vegas Golden Knights 3.1 and Seattle Kraken 2.9. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -431.

Prediction
Vegas Golden Knights to win
Chance
58%
Projected score
Vegas Golden Knights 3, Seattle Kraken 3
Projected total
6.0 goals
Best bet
Over 4 goals at -431

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 4 goals
81% chanceFair price -4312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kraken to win
42% chanceFair price +1381 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Seattle Kraken 42% and Vegas Golden Knights 58%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Seattle Kraken won 3 of their last 5 and Vegas Golden Knights won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Seattle Kraken won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Vegas Golden Knights won 7 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Seattle Kraken score 2.5 goals a game and let in 3.8. Vegas Golden Knights score 3.3 and let in 2.8. Their recent games average 6.3 and 6.0 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Seattle Kraken won 3 and Vegas Golden Knights won 1. The last one ended Vegas Golden Knights 4, Seattle Kraken 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 4 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Krakenrest between games-5%
  • Golden Knightsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Vegas Golden Knights vs Seattle Kraken: Vegas Golden Knights are favourites

The big picture

Seattle Kraken host Vegas Golden Knights in the NHL on Tue 6 Oct, 21:00 at Climate Pledge Arena. Our prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs Seattle Kraken is Vegas Golden Knights to win, with a 58% chance. We project Vegas Golden Knights 3.1 and Seattle Kraken 2.9. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -431.

Seattle Kraken form

Seattle Kraken have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 75 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Vegas Golden Knights form

Vegas Golden Knights have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 55 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Seattle Kraken won 3, Vegas Golden Knights won 1. Last time out it finished Vegas Golden Knights 4, Seattle Kraken 1.

Our call

We expect Vegas Golden Knights to score about 3.1 goals and Seattle Kraken about 2.9. That points to Vegas Golden Knights to win. Our safest bet is Over 4 goals at -431. Our bold bet is Kraken to win at +138.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KrakenGolden Knights
Games played2020
Wins613
Losses147
Goals scored5066
Goals conceded7555
Scored per game2.53.3
Conceded per game3.82.8
Home record4W 4L6W 4L
Away record2W 10L7W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Kraken spreadCoversFair
Kraken -0.538%+166
Kraken +0.554%-118
Kraken +1.570%-231
Total goalsOverUnder
4.574%26%
5.558%42%
6.541%59%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Kraken +3.5 wins if Kraken win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Vegas Golden Knights vs Seattle Kraken?

Our prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs Seattle Kraken is Vegas Golden Knights to win, with a 58% chance. We project Vegas Golden Knights 3.1 and Seattle Kraken 2.9. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -431.

What is the projected score for Vegas Golden Knights vs Seattle Kraken?

We project Vegas Golden Knights 3.1 and Seattle Kraken 2.9, about 6.0 goals in total.

How are Seattle Kraken playing?

Seattle Kraken have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 75 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Vegas Golden Knights playing?

Vegas Golden Knights have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 55 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Seattle Kraken and Vegas Golden Knights last met?

It ended Vegas Golden Knights 4, Seattle Kraken 1. In the last 4 meetings Seattle Kraken won 3 and Vegas Golden Knights won 1.

What is the best bet for Vegas Golden Knights vs Seattle Kraken?

Over 4 goals at -431, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kraken against Golden Knights. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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