Predictions › Italy › Venezia vs Udinese
Serie AFri 6 Nov, 19:45 Italy time

Venezia vs Udinese prediction

Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo

VeneziaHome
1.35 : 1.83
expected goals
UdineseAway
28%Venezia
24%Draw
48%Udinese
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Venezia vs Udinese is Udinese to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction
Udinese to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Venezia 1.4, Udinese 1.8
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score
63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Udinese to win and Over 2.5
34% chanceFair price 2.981 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Venezia 28%, the draw 24% and Udinese 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Venezia took 3 points from their last 5 games and Udinese took 0 from 5. Venezia come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Venezia won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Udinese won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Venezia score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.2. Udinese score 1.3 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Venezia games and 9 of Udinese games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Veneziarecent form-3%
  • Udineserecent form-6%
  • Veneziarest between games-2%
  • Udineserest between games-2%
Venezia form D W L L LUdinese form D L L L LHome edge in this league 10% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Venezia vs Udinese: Udinese are favourites

The big picture

Venezia host Udinese in the Serie A on Fri 6 Nov, 19:45 at Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo. Our prediction for Venezia vs Udinese is Udinese to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Venezia form

Venezia have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Udinese form

Udinese have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Venezia to score about 1.4 goals and Udinese about 1.8. That points to Udinese to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Udinese to win and Over 2.5 at 2.98.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

VeneziaUdinese
Games played2020
Wins86
Draws54
Losses710
Goals scored3026
Goals conceded2427
Scored per game1.51.3
Conceded per game1.21.4
Home record7W 0D 3L2W 2D 7L
Away record1W 5D 4L4W 2D 3L
Clean sheets35%30%
Both teams scored45%35%
Over 2.5 goals40%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.62
Over 3.5 goals39%2.54
Both teams to score63%1.59
Venezia or Draw52%1.93
Udinese or Draw72%1.38
Venezia to win and Over 2.519%5.28
Udinese to win and Over 2.534%2.91
Venezia clean sheet16%6.27
Udinese clean sheet26%3.85

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.9%
1-29.4%
0-17.0%
0-27.0%
2-16.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Venezia vs Udinese?

Our prediction for Venezia vs Udinese is Udinese to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Venezia vs Udinese?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Venezia to score 1.4 goals and Udinese 1.8.

Will both teams score in Venezia vs Udinese?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Venezia last 20 games and 7 of Udinese last 20.

How are Venezia playing?

Venezia have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Udinese playing?

Udinese have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Venezia vs Udinese?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.20, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Venezia against Udinese. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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