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Predictions › Germany › VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld
2. BundesligaSun 11 Oct, 11:30 Germany time

VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld prediction

Vonovia Ruhrstadion

VfL BochumHome
1.60 : 1.24
expected goals
Arminia BielefeldAway
45%Bochum
26%Draw
29%Bielefeld
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld is VfL Bochum to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
VfL Bochum to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
VfL Bochum 1.6, Arminia Bielefeld 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

VfL Bochum to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 3.521 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives VfL Bochum 45%, the draw 26% and Arminia Bielefeld 29%. The bookmakers agree and make VfL Bochum the favourite at 2.30.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    VfL Bochum took 7 points from their last 5 games and Arminia Bielefeld took 5 from 5. VfL Bochum come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    VfL Bochum won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Arminia Bielefeld won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    VfL Bochum score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.4. Arminia Bielefeld score 1.6 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of VfL Bochum games and 14 of Arminia Bielefeld games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, VfL Bochum won 1 and Arminia Bielefeld won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Arminia Bielefeld 1, VfL Bochum 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bielefeldrecent form-4%
Bochum form L D W L WBielefeld form D L D L LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld: VfL Bochum are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

VfL Bochum host Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga on Sun 11 Oct, 11:30 at Vonovia Ruhrstadion. Our prediction for VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld is VfL Bochum to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

VfL Bochum form

VfL Bochum have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Arminia Bielefeld form

Arminia Bielefeld have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. VfL Bochum won 1, Arminia Bielefeld won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Arminia Bielefeld 1, VfL Bochum 1.

Our call

We expect VfL Bochum to score about 1.6 goals and Arminia Bielefeld about 1.2. That points to VfL Bochum to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is VfL Bochum to win and Over 2.5 at 3.52.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BochumBielefeld
Games played2020
Wins66
Draws75
Losses79
Goals scored2533
Goals conceded2735
Scored per game1.31.6
Conceded per game1.41.8
Home record3W 4D 3L4W 5D 1L
Away record3W 3D 4L2W 0D 8L
Clean sheets10%10%
Both teams scored75%75%
Over 2.5 goals45%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
VfL Bochum to win42%2.362.30-2.4%
A Draw25%3.923.45-12.1%
Arminia Bielefeld to win28%3.552.80-21.0%
Over 2.5 goals52%1.931.65-14.7%
Under 2.5 goals42%2.372.05-13.4%
VfL Bochum -0.540%2.502.20-12.1%
Arminia Bielefeld +0.554%1.851.56-15.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%1.28
Over 2.5 goals54%1.85
Over 3.5 goals32%3.15
Both teams to score57%1.74
VfL Bochum or Draw71%1.41
Arminia Bielefeld or Draw55%1.82
VfL Bochum to win and Over 2.529%3.44
Arminia Bielefeld to win and Over 2.518%5.61
VfL Bochum clean sheet29%3.45
Arminia Bielefeld clean sheet20%4.97

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.3%
2-19.3%
1-08.6%
2-07.5%
1-27.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Our prediction for VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld is VfL Bochum to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect VfL Bochum to score 1.6 goals and Arminia Bielefeld 1.2.

Will both teams score in VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of VfL Bochum last 20 games and 15 of Arminia Bielefeld last 20.

How are VfL Bochum playing?

VfL Bochum have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Arminia Bielefeld playing?

Arminia Bielefeld have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, W, newest first.

What happened when VfL Bochum and Arminia Bielefeld last met?

It ended Arminia Bielefeld 1, VfL Bochum 1. In the last 2 meetings VfL Bochum won 1 and Arminia Bielefeld won 0.

What is the best bet for VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bochum against Bielefeld. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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