Predictions › Germany › VfL Bochum vs Karlsruher SC
2. BundesligaSun 8 Nov, 12:30 Germany time

VfL Bochum vs Karlsruher SC prediction

Vonovia Ruhrstadion

VfL BochumHome
1.70 : 1.05
expected goals
Karlsruher SCAway
52%Bochum
25%Draw
23%Karlsruher
Eagle safe pickVfL Bochum or Draw
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for VfL Bochum vs Karlsruher SC is VfL Bochum to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is VfL Bochum or Draw at 1.28.

Prediction
VfL Bochum to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
VfL Bochum 1.7, Karlsruher SC 1.1
Best bet
VfL Bochum or Draw at 1.28
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

VfL Bochum or Draw
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

VfL Bochum to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 3.151 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives VfL Bochum 52%, the draw 25% and Karlsruher SC 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    VfL Bochum took 2 points from their last 5 games and Karlsruher SC took 3 from 5. Karlsruher SC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    VfL Bochum won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Karlsruher SC won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    VfL Bochum score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.4. Karlsruher SC score 1.5 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of VfL Bochum games and 16 of Karlsruher SC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, VfL Bochum won 1 and Karlsruher SC won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Karlsruher SC 1, VfL Bochum 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    VfL Bochum or Draw has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bochumrecent form-4%
  • Karlsruherrecent form-3%
Bochum form D D L L LKarlsruher form D L W L LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

VfL Bochum vs Karlsruher SC: VfL Bochum are favourites

The big picture

VfL Bochum host Karlsruher SC in the 2. Bundesliga on Sun 8 Nov, 12:30 at Vonovia Ruhrstadion. Our prediction for VfL Bochum vs Karlsruher SC is VfL Bochum to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is VfL Bochum or Draw at 1.28.

VfL Bochum form

VfL Bochum have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Karlsruher SC form

Karlsruher SC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. VfL Bochum won 1, Karlsruher SC won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Karlsruher SC 1, VfL Bochum 2.

Our call

We expect VfL Bochum to score about 1.7 goals and Karlsruher SC about 1.1. That points to VfL Bochum to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is VfL Bochum or Draw at 1.28. Our bold bet is VfL Bochum to win and Over 2.5 at 3.15.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BochumKarlsruher
Games played2020
Wins66
Draws54
Losses910
Goals scored2430
Goals conceded2941
Scored per game1.21.5
Conceded per game1.42.0
Home record3W 3D 4L5W 1D 5L
Away record3W 2D 5L1W 3D 5L
Clean sheets5%10%
Both teams scored70%60%
Over 2.5 goals45%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.30
Over 2.5 goals52%1.93
Over 3.5 goals30%3.36
Both teams to score54%1.86
VfL Bochum or Draw77%1.29
Karlsruher SC or Draw48%2.08
VfL Bochum to win and Over 2.533%3.07
Karlsruher SC to win and Over 2.513%7.63
VfL Bochum clean sheet35%2.85
Karlsruher SC clean sheet18%5.49

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%
1-010.2%
2-19.7%
2-09.3%
0-07.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win VfL Bochum vs Karlsruher SC?

Our prediction for VfL Bochum vs Karlsruher SC is VfL Bochum to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is VfL Bochum or Draw at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for VfL Bochum vs Karlsruher SC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect VfL Bochum to score 1.7 goals and Karlsruher SC 1.1.

Will both teams score in VfL Bochum vs Karlsruher SC?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of VfL Bochum last 20 games and 12 of Karlsruher SC last 20.

How are VfL Bochum playing?

VfL Bochum have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Karlsruher SC playing?

Karlsruher SC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when VfL Bochum and Karlsruher SC last met?

It ended Karlsruher SC 1, VfL Bochum 2. In the last 2 meetings VfL Bochum won 1 and Karlsruher SC won 0.

What is the best bet for VfL Bochum vs Karlsruher SC?

VfL Bochum or Draw at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bochum against Karlsruher. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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