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Predictions › Germany › VfL Bochum vs VfL Wolfsburg
2. BundesligaFri 23 Oct, 16:30 Germany time

VfL Bochum vs VfL Wolfsburg prediction

Vonovia Ruhrstadion

VfL BochumHome
1.40 : 1.68
expected goals
VfL WolfsburgAway
31%Bochum
25%Draw
44%Wolfsburg
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for VfL Bochum vs VfL Wolfsburg is VfL Wolfsburg to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
VfL Wolfsburg to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
VfL Bochum 1.4, VfL Wolfsburg 1.7
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

VfL Wolfsburg to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 3.561 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives VfL Bochum 31%, the draw 25% and VfL Wolfsburg 44%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    VfL Bochum took 4 points from their last 5 games and VfL Wolfsburg took 8 from 5. VfL Wolfsburg come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    VfL Bochum won 3 of their last 11 games at home. VfL Wolfsburg won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    VfL Bochum score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.4. VfL Wolfsburg score 1.8 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of VfL Bochum games and 12 of VfL Wolfsburg games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bochumrecent form-1%
  • Wolfsburgrecent form+1%
  • Bochumrest between games-2%
Bochum form D L D W LWolfsburg form D W L D WHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

VfL Bochum vs VfL Wolfsburg: VfL Wolfsburg shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

VfL Bochum host VfL Wolfsburg in the 2. Bundesliga on Fri 23 Oct, 16:30 at Vonovia Ruhrstadion. Our prediction for VfL Bochum vs VfL Wolfsburg is VfL Wolfsburg to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

VfL Bochum form

VfL Bochum have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, L, newest first.

VfL Wolfsburg form

VfL Wolfsburg have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect VfL Bochum to score about 1.4 goals and VfL Wolfsburg about 1.7. That points to VfL Wolfsburg to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is VfL Wolfsburg to win and Over 2.5 at 3.56.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BochumWolfsburg
Games played2020
Wins65
Draws67
Losses88
Goals scored2435
Goals conceded2737
Scored per game1.21.8
Conceded per game1.41.9
Home record3W 4D 4L1W 3D 5L
Away record3W 2D 4L4W 4D 3L
Clean sheets10%15%
Both teams scored70%65%
Over 2.5 goals45%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.68
Over 3.5 goals37%2.68
Both teams to score62%1.61
VfL Bochum or Draw56%1.77
VfL Wolfsburg or Draw69%1.46
VfL Bochum to win and Over 2.521%4.71
VfL Wolfsburg to win and Over 2.530%3.32
VfL Bochum clean sheet19%5.39
VfL Wolfsburg clean sheet25%4.07

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
1-29.1%
2-17.6%
0-17.0%
0-26.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win VfL Bochum vs VfL Wolfsburg?

Our prediction for VfL Bochum vs VfL Wolfsburg is VfL Wolfsburg to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for VfL Bochum vs VfL Wolfsburg?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect VfL Bochum to score 1.4 goals and VfL Wolfsburg 1.7.

Will both teams score in VfL Bochum vs VfL Wolfsburg?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of VfL Bochum last 20 games and 13 of VfL Wolfsburg last 20.

How are VfL Bochum playing?

VfL Bochum have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, L, newest first.

How are VfL Wolfsburg playing?

VfL Wolfsburg have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, D, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for VfL Bochum vs VfL Wolfsburg?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bochum against Wolfsburg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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