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Predictions › Germany › VfL Osnabruck vs Hertha Berlin
2. BundesligaSun 13 Sept, 11:30 Germany time

VfL Osnabruck vs Hertha Berlin prediction

Stadion an der Bremer Brücke'

VfL OsnabruckHome
1.35 : 1.76
expected goals
Hertha BerlinAway
29%Osnabruck
25%Draw
47%Hertha
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for VfL Osnabruck vs Hertha Berlin is Hertha Berlin to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Hertha Berlin to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
VfL Osnabruck 1.4, Hertha Berlin 1.8
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hertha Berlin to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.251 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives VfL Osnabruck 29%, the draw 25% and Hertha Berlin 47%. The bookmakers agree and make Hertha Berlin the favourite at 2.05.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    VfL Osnabruck took 6 points from their last 4 games and Hertha Berlin took 12 from 5. Hertha Berlin come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    VfL Osnabruck score 1.8 goals a game and let in 2.0. Hertha Berlin score 1.9 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of VfL Osnabruck games and 13 of Hertha Berlin games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Osnabruckrecent form-1%
  • Hertharecent form+7%
Osnabruck form W L W L LHertha form W W W W WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

VfL Osnabruck vs Hertha Berlin: Hertha Berlin are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

VfL Osnabruck host Hertha Berlin in the 2. Bundesliga on Sun 13 Sept, 11:30 at Stadion an der Bremer Brücke'. Our prediction for VfL Osnabruck vs Hertha Berlin is Hertha Berlin to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

VfL Osnabruck form

VfL Osnabruck have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 4 games, with 7 goals scored and 8 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss from 2. Their last 4 results read W, W, L, L, newest first.

Hertha Berlin form

Hertha Berlin have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect VfL Osnabruck to score about 1.4 goals and Hertha Berlin about 1.8. That points to Hertha Berlin to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Hertha Berlin to win and Over 2.5 at 3.25.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

OsnabruckHertha
Games played420
Wins210
Draws04
Losses26
Goals scored738
Goals conceded833
Scored per game1.81.9
Conceded per game2.01.6
Home record1W 0D 1L4W 2D 3L
Away record1W 0D 1L6W 2D 3L
Clean sheets25%15%
Both teams scored50%70%
Over 2.5 goals75%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
VfL Osnabruck to win27%3.653.20-12.2%
A Draw23%4.353.80-12.6%
Hertha Berlin to win45%2.242.05-8.5%
Over 3.5 goals38%2.652.20-16.9%
Under 3.5 goals60%1.671.63-2.9%
VfL Osnabruck +0.553%1.881.71-8.6%
Hertha Berlin -0.544%2.262.00-11.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.21
Over 2.5 goals60%1.66
Over 3.5 goals38%2.64
Both teams to score62%1.61
VfL Osnabruck or Draw53%1.88
Hertha Berlin or Draw71%1.40
VfL Osnabruck to win and Over 2.519%5.15
Hertha Berlin to win and Over 2.533%3.07
VfL Osnabruck clean sheet17%5.84
Hertha Berlin clean sheet26%3.85

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.2%
1-29.3%
0-17.2%
2-17.1%
0-26.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win VfL Osnabruck vs Hertha Berlin?

Our prediction for VfL Osnabruck vs Hertha Berlin is Hertha Berlin to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for VfL Osnabruck vs Hertha Berlin?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect VfL Osnabruck to score 1.4 goals and Hertha Berlin 1.8.

Will both teams score in VfL Osnabruck vs Hertha Berlin?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 2 of VfL Osnabruck last 4 games and 14 of Hertha Berlin last 20.

How are VfL Osnabruck playing?

VfL Osnabruck have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 4 games, with 7 goals scored and 8 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss from 2. Their last 4 results read W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Hertha Berlin playing?

Hertha Berlin have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for VfL Osnabruck vs Hertha Berlin?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Osnabruck against Hertha. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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