Predictions › Germany › VfL Osnabruck vs Kaiserslautern
2. BundesligaSat 7 Nov, 12:00 Germany time

VfL Osnabruck vs Kaiserslautern prediction

Stadion an der Bremer Brücke'

VfL OsnabruckHome
1.33 : 1.05
expected goals
KaiserslauternAway
42%Osnabruck
29%Draw
29%Kaiserslautern
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for VfL Osnabruck vs Kaiserslautern is VfL Osnabruck to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction
VfL Osnabruck to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
VfL Osnabruck 1.3, Kaiserslautern 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.311 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives VfL Osnabruck 42%, the draw 29% and Kaiserslautern 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    VfL Osnabruck took 5 points from their last 5 games and Kaiserslautern took 10 from 5. Kaiserslautern come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    VfL Osnabruck won 2 of their last 5 games at home. Kaiserslautern won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    VfL Osnabruck score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.7. Kaiserslautern score 1.1 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of VfL Osnabruck games and 9 of Kaiserslautern games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Osnabruckrecent form-3%
  • Kaiserslauternrecent form+3%
Osnabruck form D L D D LKaiserslautern form W W D W LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

VfL Osnabruck vs Kaiserslautern: VfL Osnabruck shade it

The big picture

VfL Osnabruck host Kaiserslautern in the 2. Bundesliga on Sat 7 Nov, 12:00 at Stadion an der Bremer Brücke'. Our prediction for VfL Osnabruck vs Kaiserslautern is VfL Osnabruck to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

VfL Osnabruck form

VfL Osnabruck have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 9 games, with 14 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Kaiserslautern form

Kaiserslautern have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect VfL Osnabruck to score about 1.3 goals and Kaiserslautern about 1.1. That points to VfL Osnabruck to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.31.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

OsnabruckKaiserslautern
Games played920
Wins310
Draws23
Losses47
Goals scored1422
Goals conceded1518
Scored per game1.61.1
Conceded per game1.70.9
Home record2W 1D 2L6W 1D 2L
Away record1W 1D 2L4W 2D 5L
Clean sheets22%60%
Both teams scored67%15%
Over 2.5 goals67%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%1.44
Over 2.5 goals43%2.34
Over 3.5 goals22%4.57
Both teams to score49%2.05
VfL Osnabruck or Draw71%1.40
Kaiserslautern or Draw58%1.73
VfL Osnabruck to win and Over 2.523%4.41
Kaiserslautern to win and Over 2.515%6.80
VfL Osnabruck clean sheet35%2.87
Kaiserslautern clean sheet26%3.80

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.7%
1-011.5%
0-010.0%
0-18.9%
2-18.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win VfL Osnabruck vs Kaiserslautern?

Our prediction for VfL Osnabruck vs Kaiserslautern is VfL Osnabruck to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for VfL Osnabruck vs Kaiserslautern?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect VfL Osnabruck to score 1.3 goals and Kaiserslautern 1.1.

Will both teams score in VfL Osnabruck vs Kaiserslautern?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of VfL Osnabruck last 9 games and 3 of Kaiserslautern last 20.

How are VfL Osnabruck playing?

VfL Osnabruck have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 9 games, with 14 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, L, newest first.

How are Kaiserslautern playing?

Kaiserslautern have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for VfL Osnabruck vs Kaiserslautern?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.27, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Osnabruck against Kaiserslautern. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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