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Predictions › Germany › VfL Osnabruck vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2. BundesligaSun 25 Oct, 12:30 Germany time

VfL Osnabruck vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction

Stadion an der Bremer Brücke'

VfL OsnabruckHome
1.54 : 1.60
expected goals
SpVgg Greuther FürthAway
36%Osnabruck
25%Draw
39%Greuther Furth
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for VfL Osnabruck vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
VfL Osnabruck 1.5, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score
63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win and Over 2.5
25% chanceFair price 3.981 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives VfL Osnabruck 36%, the draw 25% and SpVgg Greuther Fürth 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    VfL Osnabruck took 8 points from their last 5 games and SpVgg Greuther Fürth took 5 from 5. VfL Osnabruck come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    VfL Osnabruck won 1 of their last 4 games at home. SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    VfL Osnabruck score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.9. SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of VfL Osnabruck games and 10 of SpVgg Greuther Fürth games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Osnabruckrecent form-1%
Osnabruck form D D L W LGreuther Furth form D D D L WHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

VfL Osnabruck vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: SpVgg Greuther Fürth shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

VfL Osnabruck host SpVgg Greuther Fürth in the 2. Bundesliga on Sun 25 Oct, 12:30 at Stadion an der Bremer Brücke'. Our prediction for VfL Osnabruck vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

VfL Osnabruck form

VfL Osnabruck have 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 7 games, with 10 goals scored and 13 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, W, newest first.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth form

SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect VfL Osnabruck to score about 1.5 goals and SpVgg Greuther Fürth about 1.6. That points to SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win and Over 2.5 at 3.98.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

OsnabruckGreuther Furth
Games played720
Wins26
Draws26
Losses38
Goals scored1027
Goals conceded1329
Scored per game1.41.4
Conceded per game1.91.4
Home record1W 1D 2L4W 3D 3L
Away record1W 1D 1L2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets14%15%
Both teams scored71%70%
Over 2.5 goals57%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.64
Over 3.5 goals38%2.60
Both teams to score63%1.58
VfL Osnabruck or Draw61%1.63
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Draw64%1.57
VfL Osnabruck to win and Over 2.525%3.97
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win and Over 2.527%3.72
VfL Osnabruck clean sheet20%4.94
SpVgg Greuther Fürth clean sheet21%4.69

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.3%
1-28.5%
2-18.2%
2-26.6%
0-16.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win VfL Osnabruck vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Our prediction for VfL Osnabruck vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for VfL Osnabruck vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect VfL Osnabruck to score 1.5 goals and SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.6.

Will both teams score in VfL Osnabruck vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of VfL Osnabruck last 7 games and 14 of SpVgg Greuther Fürth last 20.

How are VfL Osnabruck playing?

VfL Osnabruck have 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 7 games, with 10 goals scored and 13 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, W, newest first.

How are SpVgg Greuther Fürth playing?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for VfL Osnabruck vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Osnabruck against Greuther Furth. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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