Predictions › Germany › VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846

2. BundesligaSat 17 Oct, 11:00 Germany time

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 prediction

Volkswagen Arena

VfL WolfsburgHome

2.25 : 1.47

expected goals

1. FC Heidenheim 1846Away

55%Wolfsburg

21%Draw

24%Heidenheim

Eagle safe pickVfL Wolfsburg or Draw

1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 is VfL Wolfsburg to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is VfL Wolfsburg or Draw at 1.32.

Prediction: VfL Wolfsburg to win
Chance: 55%
Most likely score: 2-1
Expected goals: VfL Wolfsburg 2.3, 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1.5
Best bet: VfL Wolfsburg or Draw at 1.32
Both teams to score: 69%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw

76% chanceFair price 1.322 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

VfL Wolfsburg to win and Over 2.5

41% chanceFair price 2.461 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives VfL Wolfsburg 55%, the draw 21% and 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
VfL Wolfsburg took 10 points from their last 5 games and 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 took 10 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
VfL Wolfsburg won 1 of their last 10 games at home. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
VfL Wolfsburg score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.8. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 score 1.8 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of VfL Wolfsburg games and 12 of 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, VfL Wolfsburg won 0 and 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended VfL Wolfsburg 1, 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1.
6
The safest bet
VfL Wolfsburg or Draw has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Wolfsburgrecent form+3%
Heidenheimrecent form+3%

Wolfsburg form W L D W WHeidenheim form D W W W LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: VfL Wolfsburg are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

VfL Wolfsburg host 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 in the 2. Bundesliga on Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 at Volkswagen Arena. Our prediction for VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 is VfL Wolfsburg to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is VfL Wolfsburg or Draw at 1.32.

VfL Wolfsburg form

VfL Wolfsburg have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, W, newest first.

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 form

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. VfL Wolfsburg won 0, 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished VfL Wolfsburg 1, 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1.

Our call

We expect VfL Wolfsburg to score about 2.3 goals and 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 about 1.5. That points to VfL Wolfsburg to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is VfL Wolfsburg or Draw at 1.32. Our bold bet is VfL Wolfsburg to win and Over 2.5 at 2.46.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Wolfsburg	Heidenheim
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	7
Draws	6	5
Losses	9	8
Goals scored	32	36
Goals conceded	35	39
Scored per game	1.6	1.8
Conceded per game	1.8	1.9
Home record	1W 3D 6L	5W 2D 3L
Away record	4W 3D 3L	2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets	15%	15%
Both teams scored	65%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	89%	1.12
Over 2.5 goals	72%	1.39
Over 3.5 goals	51%	1.96
Both teams to score	69%	1.44
VfL Wolfsburg or Draw	76%	1.32
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 or Draw	45%	2.21
VfL Wolfsburg to win and Over 2.5	44%	2.30
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 to win and Over 2.5	19%	5.38
VfL Wolfsburg clean sheet	23%	4.36
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 clean sheet	11%	9.48

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.0%

1-18.5%

3-16.8%

2-26.6%

2-06.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846?

Our prediction for VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 is VfL Wolfsburg to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is VfL Wolfsburg or Draw at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 3-1. We expect VfL Wolfsburg to score 2.3 goals and 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1.5.

Will both teams score in VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846?

Both teams to score has a 69% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of VfL Wolfsburg last 20 games and 12 of 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 last 20.

How are VfL Wolfsburg playing?

How are 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 playing?

What happened when VfL Wolfsburg and 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 last met?

It ended VfL Wolfsburg 1, 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1. In the last 1 meeting VfL Wolfsburg won 0 and 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won 0.

What is the best bet for VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846?

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wolfsburg against Heidenheim. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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