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Predictions › Germany › VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Darmstadt 98
2. BundesligaFri 18 Sept, 16:30 Germany time

VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Darmstadt 98 prediction

Volkswagen Arena

VfL WolfsburgHome
1.74 : 1.32
expected goals
SV Darmstadt 98Away
47%Wolfsburg
25%Draw
28%Darmstadt
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Darmstadt 98 is VfL Wolfsburg to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
VfL Wolfsburg to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
VfL Wolfsburg 1.7, SV Darmstadt 98 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

VfL Wolfsburg to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price 3.331 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives VfL Wolfsburg 47%, the draw 25% and SV Darmstadt 98 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    VfL Wolfsburg took 8 points from their last 5 games and SV Darmstadt 98 took 4 from 5. VfL Wolfsburg come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    VfL Wolfsburg won 0 of their last 9 games at home. SV Darmstadt 98 won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    VfL Wolfsburg score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.8. SV Darmstadt 98 score 1.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of VfL Wolfsburg games and 12 of SV Darmstadt 98 games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Wolfsburgrecent form+3%
  • Darmstadtrecent form-1%
  • Wolfsburgrest between games-5%
  • Darmstadtrest between games-5%
Wolfsburg form L D W W WDarmstadt form W L L W LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Darmstadt 98: VfL Wolfsburg are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

VfL Wolfsburg host SV Darmstadt 98 in the 2. Bundesliga on Fri 18 Sept, 16:30 at Volkswagen Arena. Our prediction for VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Darmstadt 98 is VfL Wolfsburg to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

VfL Wolfsburg form

VfL Wolfsburg have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, D, newest first.

SV Darmstadt 98 form

SV Darmstadt 98 have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect VfL Wolfsburg to score about 1.7 goals and SV Darmstadt 98 about 1.3. That points to VfL Wolfsburg to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is VfL Wolfsburg to win and Over 2.5 at 3.33.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WolfsburgDarmstadt
Games played2020
Wins44
Draws67
Losses109
Goals scored2727
Goals conceded3533
Scored per game1.41.4
Conceded per game1.81.6
Home record0W 3D 6L4W 3D 3L
Away record4W 3D 4L0W 4D 6L
Clean sheets15%10%
Both teams scored60%65%
Over 2.5 goals55%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.70
Over 3.5 goals36%2.74
Both teams to score61%1.64
VfL Wolfsburg or Draw72%1.40
SV Darmstadt 98 or Draw53%1.88
VfL Wolfsburg to win and Over 2.532%3.12
SV Darmstadt 98 to win and Over 2.519%5.31
VfL Wolfsburg clean sheet27%3.73
SV Darmstadt 98 clean sheet18%5.67

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
2-19.4%
1-07.6%
2-07.1%
1-27.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Darmstadt 98?

Our prediction for VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Darmstadt 98 is VfL Wolfsburg to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Darmstadt 98?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect VfL Wolfsburg to score 1.7 goals and SV Darmstadt 98 1.3.

Will both teams score in VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Darmstadt 98?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of VfL Wolfsburg last 20 games and 13 of SV Darmstadt 98 last 20.

How are VfL Wolfsburg playing?

VfL Wolfsburg have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, D, newest first.

How are SV Darmstadt 98 playing?

SV Darmstadt 98 have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Darmstadt 98?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wolfsburg against Darmstadt. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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