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Predictions › Germany › VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabruck
2. BundesligaSat 31 Oct, 12:00 Germany time

VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabruck prediction

Volkswagen Arena

VfL WolfsburgHome
2.35 : 1.47
expected goals
VfL OsnabruckAway
57%Wolfsburg
20%Draw
23%Osnabruck
Eagle safe pickVfL Wolfsburg or Draw
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabruck is VfL Wolfsburg to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is VfL Wolfsburg or Draw at 1.30.

Prediction
VfL Wolfsburg to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
VfL Wolfsburg 2.4, VfL Osnabruck 1.5
Best bet
VfL Wolfsburg or Draw at 1.30
Both teams to score
70%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

VfL Wolfsburg to win and both score
36% chanceFair price 2.751 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives VfL Wolfsburg 57%, the draw 20% and VfL Osnabruck 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    VfL Wolfsburg took 8 points from their last 5 games and VfL Osnabruck took 5 from 5. VfL Wolfsburg come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    VfL Wolfsburg won 2 of their last 10 games at home. VfL Osnabruck won 1 of their last 4 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    VfL Wolfsburg score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.8. VfL Osnabruck score 1.4 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of VfL Wolfsburg games and 5 of VfL Osnabruck games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    VfL Wolfsburg or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Wolfsburg form D D W L DOsnabruck form D D D L WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabruck: VfL Wolfsburg are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

VfL Wolfsburg host VfL Osnabruck in the 2. Bundesliga on Sat 31 Oct, 12:00 at Volkswagen Arena. Our prediction for VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabruck is VfL Wolfsburg to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is VfL Wolfsburg or Draw at 1.30.

VfL Wolfsburg form

VfL Wolfsburg have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, D, newest first.

VfL Osnabruck form

VfL Osnabruck have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 8 games, with 11 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect VfL Wolfsburg to score about 2.4 goals and VfL Osnabruck about 1.5. That points to VfL Wolfsburg to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is VfL Wolfsburg or Draw at 1.30. Our bold bet is VfL Wolfsburg to win and both score at 2.75.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WolfsburgOsnabruck
Games played208
Wins62
Draws62
Losses84
Goals scored3611
Goals conceded3615
Scored per game1.81.4
Conceded per game1.81.9
Home record2W 3D 5L1W 1D 2L
Away record4W 3D 3L1W 1D 2L
Clean sheets15%13%
Both teams scored65%75%
Over 2.5 goals60%63%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals90%1.11
Over 2.5 goals73%1.36
Over 3.5 goals53%1.89
Both teams to score70%1.43
VfL Wolfsburg or Draw77%1.30
VfL Osnabruck or Draw43%2.32
VfL Wolfsburg to win and Over 2.546%2.17
VfL Osnabruck to win and Over 2.518%5.65
VfL Wolfsburg clean sheet23%4.33
VfL Osnabruck clean sheet10%10.49

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-18.9%
1-18.0%
3-17.0%
2-26.5%
2-06.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabruck?

Our prediction for VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabruck is VfL Wolfsburg to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is VfL Wolfsburg or Draw at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabruck?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 3-1. We expect VfL Wolfsburg to score 2.4 goals and VfL Osnabruck 1.5.

Will both teams score in VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabruck?

Both teams to score has a 70% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of VfL Wolfsburg last 20 games and 6 of VfL Osnabruck last 8.

How are VfL Wolfsburg playing?

VfL Wolfsburg have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, D, newest first.

How are VfL Osnabruck playing?

VfL Osnabruck have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 8 games, with 11 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabruck?

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wolfsburg against Osnabruck. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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