Predictions › Denmark › Viborg FF vs AC Horsens
Danish SuperligaSun 1 Nov, 13:00 Denmark time

Viborg FF vs AC Horsens prediction

Viborg Stadion

Viborg FFHome
1.90 : 1.57
expected goals
AC HorsensAway
45%Viborg
23%Draw
32%AC Horsens
Eagle safe pickViborg FF or Draw
1.46

Quick answer

Our prediction for Viborg FF vs AC Horsens is Viborg FF to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Viborg FF or Draw at 1.46.

Prediction
Viborg FF to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Viborg FF 1.9, AC Horsens 1.6
Best bet
Viborg FF or Draw at 1.46
Both teams to score
68%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Viborg FF or Draw
68% chanceFair price 1.461 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Viborg FF to win and Over 2.5
34% chanceFair price 2.981 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Viborg FF 45%, the draw 23% and AC Horsens 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Viborg FF took 7 points from their last 5 games and AC Horsens took 6 from 5. Viborg FF come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Viborg FF won 5 of their last 11 games at home. AC Horsens won 2 of their last 5 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Viborg FF score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.3. AC Horsens score 1.6 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Viborg FF games and 7 of AC Horsens games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Viborg FF won 1 and AC Horsens won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended AC Horsens 2, Viborg FF 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Viborg FF or Draw has a 68% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Viborgrecent form+1%
  • Viborgrest between games-2%
Viborg form D W W D LAC Horsens form D D D L WHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Viborg FF vs AC Horsens: Viborg FF are favourites

The big picture

Viborg FF host AC Horsens in the Danish Superliga on Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 at Viborg Stadion. Our prediction for Viborg FF vs AC Horsens is Viborg FF to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Viborg FF or Draw at 1.46.

Viborg FF form

Viborg FF have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, L, newest first.

AC Horsens form

AC Horsens have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 11 games, with 18 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Viborg FF won 1, AC Horsens won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished AC Horsens 2, Viborg FF 3.

Our call

We expect Viborg FF to score about 1.9 goals and AC Horsens about 1.6. That points to Viborg FF to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Viborg FF or Draw at 1.46. Our bold bet is Viborg FF to win and Over 2.5 at 2.98.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ViborgAC Horsens
Games played2011
Wins83
Draws44
Losses84
Goals scored2918
Goals conceded2619
Scored per game1.41.6
Conceded per game1.31.7
Home record5W 1D 5L1W 3D 2L
Away record3W 3D 3L2W 1D 2L
Clean sheets30%9%
Both teams scored50%73%
Over 2.5 goals45%64%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.16
Over 2.5 goals67%1.49
Over 3.5 goals46%2.20
Both teams to score68%1.47
Viborg FF or Draw68%1.46
AC Horsens or Draw55%1.82
Viborg FF to win and Over 2.534%2.93
AC Horsens to win and Over 2.523%4.27
Viborg FF clean sheet21%4.79
AC Horsens clean sheet15%6.65

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.9%
2-18.8%
1-27.3%
2-26.9%
2-05.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Viborg FF vs AC Horsens?

Our prediction for Viborg FF vs AC Horsens is Viborg FF to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Viborg FF or Draw at 1.46.

What is the score prediction for Viborg FF vs AC Horsens?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Viborg FF to score 1.9 goals and AC Horsens 1.6.

Will both teams score in Viborg FF vs AC Horsens?

Both teams to score has a 68% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Viborg FF last 20 games and 8 of AC Horsens last 11.

How are Viborg FF playing?

Viborg FF have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, L, newest first.

How are AC Horsens playing?

AC Horsens have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 11 games, with 18 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Viborg FF and AC Horsens last met?

It ended AC Horsens 2, Viborg FF 3. In the last 1 meeting Viborg FF won 1 and AC Horsens won 0.

What is the best bet for Viborg FF vs AC Horsens?

Viborg FF or Draw at 1.46, with a 68% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Viborg against AC Horsens. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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