PredictionsDenmarkViborg FF vs FC Nordsjælland
Danish SuperligaSun 20 Sept, 16:00 Denmark time

Viborg FF vs FC Nordsjælland prediction

Viborg Stadion

Viborg FFHome
1.34 : 1.13
expected goals
FC NordsjællandAway
41%Viborg
29%Draw
31%Nordsjælland
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Viborg FF vs FC Nordsjælland is Viborg FF to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
Viborg FF to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Viborg FF 1.3, FC Nordsjælland 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.292 units

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.371 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Viborg FF 41%, the draw 29% and FC Nordsjælland 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Viborg FF took 10 points from their last 5 games and FC Nordsjælland took 10 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Viborg FF won 5 of their last 10 games at home. FC Nordsjælland won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Viborg FF score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. FC Nordsjælland score 1.6 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Viborg FF games and 9 of FC Nordsjælland games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Viborg FF won 2 and FC Nordsjælland won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Viborg FF 1, FC Nordsjælland 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Viborgrecent form+3%
  • Nordsjællandrecent form+3%
  • Viborgrest between games-5%
Viborg form D L W W WNordsjælland form D L W W WHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Viborg FF vs FC Nordsjælland: Viborg FF shade it

The big picture

Viborg FF host FC Nordsjælland in the Danish Superliga on Sun 20 Sept, 16:00 at Viborg Stadion. Our prediction for Viborg FF vs FC Nordsjælland is Viborg FF to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Viborg FF form

Viborg FF have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

FC Nordsjælland form

FC Nordsjælland have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Viborg FF won 2, FC Nordsjælland won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Viborg FF 1, FC Nordsjælland 0.

Our call

We expect Viborg FF to score about 1.3 goals and FC Nordsjælland about 1.1. That points to Viborg FF to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.37.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ViborgNordsjælland
Games played2020
Wins810
Draws47
Losses83
Goals scored2731
Goals conceded2919
Scored per game1.41.6
Conceded per game1.40.9
Home record5W 1D 4L6W 3D 0L
Away record3W 3D 4L4W 4D 3L
Clean sheets30%30%
Both teams scored50%60%
Over 2.5 goals45%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.40
Over 2.5 goals45%2.22
Over 3.5 goals24%4.21
Both teams to score51%1.97
Viborg FF or Draw69%1.44
FC Nordsjælland or Draw59%1.69
Viborg FF to win and Over 2.523%4.41
FC Nordsjælland to win and Over 2.517%6.03
Viborg FF clean sheet32%3.10
FC Nordsjælland clean sheet26%3.83

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.6%
1-010.5%
0-09.2%
0-18.8%
2-18.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Viborg FF vs FC Nordsjælland?

Our prediction for Viborg FF vs FC Nordsjælland is Viborg FF to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Viborg FF vs FC Nordsjælland?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Viborg FF to score 1.3 goals and FC Nordsjælland 1.1.

Will both teams score in Viborg FF vs FC Nordsjælland?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Viborg FF last 20 games and 12 of FC Nordsjælland last 20.

How are Viborg FF playing?

Viborg FF have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are FC Nordsjælland playing?

FC Nordsjælland have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Viborg FF and FC Nordsjælland last met?

It ended Viborg FF 1, FC Nordsjælland 0. In the last 3 meetings Viborg FF won 2 and FC Nordsjælland won 1.

What is the best bet for Viborg FF vs FC Nordsjælland?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Viborg against Nordsjælland. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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