Predictions › Denmark › Viborg FF vs Randers FC

Danish SuperligaSun 22 Nov, 13:00 Denmark time

Viborg FF vs Randers FC prediction

Viborg Stadion

Viborg FFHome

1.97 : 1.02

expected goals

Randers FCAway

59%Viborg

23%Draw

19%Randers

Eagle safe pickViborg FF or Draw

1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Viborg FF vs Randers FC is Viborg FF to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Viborg FF or Draw at 1.23.

Prediction: Viborg FF to win
Chance: 59%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Viborg FF 2.0, Randers FC 1.0
Best bet: Viborg FF or Draw at 1.23
Both teams to score: 56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Viborg FF or Draw

81% chanceFair price 1.232 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Viborg FF to win and Over 2.5

39% chanceFair price 2.601 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Viborg FF 59%, the draw 23% and Randers FC 19%. The bookmakers agree and make Viborg FF the favourite at 1.54.
2
Recent form
Viborg FF took 9 points from their last 5 games and Randers FC took 1 from 5. Viborg FF come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Viborg FF won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Randers FC won 1 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Viborg FF score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.3. Randers FC score 1.0 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Viborg FF games and 12 of Randers FC games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings, Viborg FF won 2 and Randers FC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Randers FC 0, Viborg FF 2.
6
The safest bet
Viborg FF or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Viborgrecent form+1%
Randersrecent form-6%

Viborg form W W L L WRanders form L L L D LHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Viborg FF vs Randers FC: Viborg FF are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Viborg FF host Randers FC in the Danish Superliga on Sun 22 Nov, 13:00 at Viborg Stadion. Our prediction for Viborg FF vs Randers FC is Viborg FF to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Viborg FF or Draw at 1.23.

Viborg FF form

Viborg FF have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Randers FC form

Randers FC have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Viborg FF won 2, Randers FC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Randers FC 0, Viborg FF 2.

Our call

We expect Viborg FF to score about 2.0 goals and Randers FC about 1.0. That points to Viborg FF to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Viborg FF or Draw at 1.23. Our bold bet is Viborg FF to win and Over 2.5 at 2.60.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Viborg	Randers
Games played	20	20
Wins	9	4
Draws	3	4
Losses	8	12
Goals scored	29	20
Goals conceded	26	41
Scored per game	1.4	1.0
Conceded per game	1.3	2.0
Home record	6W 0D 4L	3W 3D 5L
Away record	3W 3D 4L	1W 1D 7L
Clean sheets	30%	20%
Both teams scored	50%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Viborg FF to win	53%	1.88	1.54	-18.1%
A Draw	22%	4.53	4.30	-5.1%
Randers FC to win	18%	5.64	4.90	-13.1%
Over 3.5 goals	39%	2.55	2.15	-15.6%
Under 3.5 goals	54%	1.86	1.61	-13.5%
Viborg FF -0.5	54%	1.84	1.50	-18.5%
Randers FC +0.5	39%	2.57	2.30	-10.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	81%	1.24
Over 2.5 goals	57%	1.74
Over 3.5 goals	35%	2.85
Both teams to score	56%	1.80
Viborg FF or Draw	81%	1.23
Randers FC or Draw	41%	2.42
Viborg FF to win and Over 2.5	40%	2.52
Randers FC to win and Over 2.5	11%	8.78
Viborg FF clean sheet	36%	2.78
Randers FC clean sheet	14%	7.14

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.7%

2-110.0%

2-09.7%

1-09.3%

3-16.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Viborg FF vs Randers FC?

Our prediction for Viborg FF vs Randers FC is Viborg FF to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Viborg FF or Draw at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Viborg FF vs Randers FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Viborg FF to score 2.0 goals and Randers FC 1.0.

Will both teams score in Viborg FF vs Randers FC?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Viborg FF last 20 games and 10 of Randers FC last 20.

How are Viborg FF playing?

How are Randers FC playing?

What happened when Viborg FF and Randers FC last met?

It ended Randers FC 0, Viborg FF 2. In the last 3 meetings Viborg FF won 2 and Randers FC won 1.

What is the best bet for Viborg FF vs Randers FC?

Viborg FF or Draw at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Viborg against Randers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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