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Predictions › Italy › Vicenza vs Cremonese
Serie BSun 8 Nov, 18:30 Italy time

Vicenza vs Cremonese prediction

Romeo Menti di Vicenza

VicenzaHome
1.17 : 1.42
expected goals
CremoneseAway
30%Vicenza
28%Draw
42%Cremonese
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Vicenza vs Cremonese is Cremonese to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Cremonese to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Vicenza 1.2, Cremonese 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.331 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.571 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Vicenza 30%, the draw 28% and Cremonese 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Vicenza took 4 points from their last 5 games and Cremonese took 5 from 5. Cremonese come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Vicenza won 1 of their last 4 games at home. Cremonese won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Vicenza score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.9. Cremonese score 0.9 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Vicenza games and 11 of Cremonese games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Vicenzarecent form-1%
  • Cremoneserecent form-3%
  • Vicenzarest between games-2%
  • Cremoneserest between games-2%
Vicenza form D W D L LCremonese form D L L D DHome edge in this league 28% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Vicenza vs Cremonese: Cremonese shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Vicenza host Cremonese in the Serie B on Sun 8 Nov, 18:30 at Romeo Menti di Vicenza. Our prediction for Vicenza vs Cremonese is Cremonese to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Vicenza form

Vicenza have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 9 games, with 12 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Cremonese form

Cremonese have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Vicenza to score about 1.2 goals and Cremonese about 1.4. That points to Cremonese to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.57.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

VicenzaCremonese
Games played920
Wins25
Draws34
Losses411
Goals scored1219
Goals conceded1730
Scored per game1.30.9
Conceded per game1.91.5
Home record1W 1D 2L2W 2D 6L
Away record1W 2D 2L3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets11%35%
Both teams scored67%40%
Over 2.5 goals78%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.35
Over 2.5 goals48%2.09
Over 3.5 goals26%3.82
Both teams to score53%1.88
Vicenza or Draw58%1.72
Cremonese or Draw70%1.44
Vicenza to win and Over 2.517%5.80
Cremonese to win and Over 2.524%4.10
Vicenza clean sheet24%4.12
Cremonese clean sheet31%3.23

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.2%
0-19.9%
1-28.8%
0-08.3%
1-08.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Vicenza vs Cremonese?

Our prediction for Vicenza vs Cremonese is Cremonese to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Vicenza vs Cremonese?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Vicenza to score 1.2 goals and Cremonese 1.4.

Will both teams score in Vicenza vs Cremonese?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of Vicenza last 9 games and 8 of Cremonese last 20.

How are Vicenza playing?

Vicenza have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 9 games, with 12 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Cremonese playing?

Cremonese have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Vicenza vs Cremonese?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Vicenza against Cremonese. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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