Predictions › Italy › Vicenza vs Pisa

Serie BSat 10 Oct, 15:15 Italy time

Vicenza vs Pisa prediction

Romeo Menti di Vicenza

VicenzaHome

1.37 : 1.41

expected goals

PisaAway

36%Vicenza

27%Draw

37%Pisa

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Vicenza vs Pisa is Pisa to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction: Pisa to win
Chance: 37%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Vicenza 1.4, Pisa 1.4
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score: 57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

76% chanceFair price 1.312 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

13% chanceFair price 7.871 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Vicenza 36%, the draw 27% and Pisa 37%. The bookmakers agree and make Pisa the favourite at 2.50.
2
Recent form
Vicenza took 5 points from their last 5 games and Pisa took 7 from 5. Pisa come in with the better run.
3
Goals
Vicenza score 1.4 goals a game and let in 2.0. Pisa score 0.8 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Vicenza games and 14 of Pisa games in that run.
4
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Vicenzarecent form-1%

Vicenza form L D D L WPisa form D L L W WHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Vicenza vs Pisa: Pisa shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Vicenza host Pisa in the Serie B on Sat 10 Oct, 15:15 at Romeo Menti di Vicenza. Our prediction for Vicenza vs Pisa is Pisa to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Vicenza form

Vicenza have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 games, with 7 goals scored and 10 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses from 2. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, W, newest first.

Pisa form

Pisa have 3 wins, 2 draws and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Vicenza to score about 1.4 goals and Pisa about 1.4. That points to Pisa to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.87.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Vicenza	Pisa
Games played	5	20
Wins	1	3
Draws	2	2
Losses	2	15
Goals scored	7	15
Goals conceded	10	39
Scored per game	1.4	0.8
Conceded per game	2.0	1.9
Home record	1W 1D 0L	2W 0D 8L
Away record	0W 1D 2L	1W 2D 7L
Clean sheets	0%	10%
Both teams scored	80%	40%
Over 2.5 goals	80%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Vicenza to win	34%	2.96	2.65	-10.5%
A Draw	26%	3.84	3.30	-14.0%
Pisa to win	35%	2.84	2.50	-11.9%
Over 2.5 goals	49%	2.03	1.74	-14.4%
Under 2.5 goals	45%	2.24	1.91	-14.9%
Vicenza +0.5	59%	1.68	1.48	-12.2%
Pisa -0.5	36%	2.79	2.35	-15.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	77%	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	53%	1.90
Over 3.5 goals	30%	3.30
Both teams to score	57%	1.75
Vicenza or Draw	63%	1.60
Pisa or Draw	64%	1.56
Vicenza to win and Over 2.5	22%	4.53
Pisa to win and Over 2.5	23%	4.30
Vicenza clean sheet	24%	4.09
Pisa clean sheet	25%	3.94

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.7%

1-28.4%

2-18.2%

0-18.0%

1-07.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Vicenza vs Pisa?

Our prediction for Vicenza vs Pisa is Pisa to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Vicenza vs Pisa?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Vicenza to score 1.4 goals and Pisa 1.4.

Will both teams score in Vicenza vs Pisa?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 4 of Vicenza last 5 games and 8 of Pisa last 20.

How are Vicenza playing?

How are Pisa playing?

What is the best bet for Vicenza vs Pisa?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Vicenza against Pisa. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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