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Predictions › Norway › Viking FK vs Fredrikstad
EliteserienSat 17 Oct, 16:00 Norway time

Viking FK vs Fredrikstad prediction

Viking Stadion

Viking FKHome
2.95 : 0.92
expected goals
FredrikstadAway
78%Viking FK
14%Draw
8%Fredrikstad
Eagle safe pickViking FK to win
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Viking FK vs Fredrikstad is Viking FK to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Viking FK to win at 1.31.

Prediction
Viking FK to win
Chance
78%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Viking FK 3.0, Fredrikstad 0.9
Best bet
Viking FK to win at 1.31
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Viking FK to win
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Viking FK to win and both score
38% chanceFair price 2.641 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Viking FK 78%, the draw 14% and Fredrikstad 8%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Viking FK took 10 points from their last 5 games and Fredrikstad took 8 from 5. Viking FK come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Viking FK won 9 of their last 9 games at home. Fredrikstad won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Viking FK score 2.5 goals a game and let in 1.0. Fredrikstad score 1.3 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Viking FK games and 10 of Fredrikstad games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Viking FK won 2 and Fredrikstad won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Fredrikstad 1, Viking FK 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Viking FK to win has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Viking FKrecent form+3%
  • Fredrikstadrecent form+1%
Viking FK form W W L D WFredrikstad form D D L W WHome edge in this league 34% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Viking FK vs Fredrikstad: Viking FK are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Viking FK host Fredrikstad in the Eliteserien on Sat 17 Oct, 16:00 at Viking Stadion. Our prediction for Viking FK vs Fredrikstad is Viking FK to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Viking FK to win at 1.31.

Viking FK form

Viking FK have 15 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, W, newest first.

Fredrikstad form

Fredrikstad have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Viking FK won 2, Fredrikstad won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Fredrikstad 1, Viking FK 2.

Our call

We expect Viking FK to score about 3.0 goals and Fredrikstad about 0.9. That points to Viking FK to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Viking FK to win at 1.31. Our bold bet is Viking FK to win and both score at 2.64.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Viking FKFredrikstad
Games played2020
Wins158
Draws24
Losses38
Goals scored5025
Goals conceded2028
Scored per game2.51.3
Conceded per game1.01.4
Home record9W 0D 0L5W 2D 3L
Away record6W 2D 3L3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets30%15%
Both teams scored65%65%
Over 2.5 goals75%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals90%1.11
Over 2.5 goals74%1.35
Over 3.5 goals54%1.85
Both teams to score57%1.75
Viking FK or Draw92%1.09
Fredrikstad or Draw22%4.58
Viking FK to win and Over 2.563%1.58
Fredrikstad to win and Over 2.56%17.27
Viking FK clean sheet40%2.50
Fredrikstad clean sheet5%19.12

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-09.1%
3-09.0%
2-18.3%
3-18.2%
4-06.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Viking FK vs Fredrikstad?

Our prediction for Viking FK vs Fredrikstad is Viking FK to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Viking FK to win at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Viking FK vs Fredrikstad?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 3-0 and 2-1. We expect Viking FK to score 3.0 goals and Fredrikstad 0.9.

Will both teams score in Viking FK vs Fredrikstad?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Viking FK last 20 games and 13 of Fredrikstad last 20.

How are Viking FK playing?

Viking FK have 15 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, W, newest first.

How are Fredrikstad playing?

Fredrikstad have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Viking FK and Fredrikstad last met?

It ended Fredrikstad 1, Viking FK 2. In the last 2 meetings Viking FK won 2 and Fredrikstad won 0.

What is the best bet for Viking FK vs Fredrikstad?

Viking FK to win at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Viking FK against Fredrikstad. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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