Predictions › Norway › Viking FK vs Kristiansund BK

EliteserienSun 13 Sept, 12:30 Norway time

Viking FK vs Kristiansund BK prediction

Viking Stadion

Viking FKHome

2.75 : 1.04

expected goals

Kristiansund BKAway

73%Viking FK

16%Draw

11%Kristiansund

Eagle safe pickViking FK to win

1.35

Quick answer

Our prediction for Viking FK vs Kristiansund BK is Viking FK to win, with a 73% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Viking FK to win at 1.35.

Prediction: Viking FK to win
Chance: 73%
Most likely score: 2-1
Expected goals: Viking FK 2.8, Kristiansund BK 1.0
Best bet: Viking FK to win at 1.35
Both teams to score: 61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Viking FK to win

74% chancePrice 1.351 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Viking FK to win and both score

37% chanceFair price 2.721 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Viking FK 73%, the draw 16% and Kristiansund BK 11%. The bookmakers agree and make Viking FK the favourite at 1.35.
2
Recent form
Viking FK took 7 points from their last 5 games and Kristiansund BK took 7 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Viking FK won 8 of their last 8 games at home. Kristiansund BK won 1 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Viking FK score 2.2 goals a game and let in 1.1. Kristiansund BK score 0.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Viking FK games and 10 of Kristiansund BK games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Viking FK won 1 and Kristiansund BK won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Kristiansund BK 1, Viking FK 2.
6
The safest bet
Viking FK to win has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Viking FKrecent form+1%

Viking FK form L D W W DKristiansund form W D L W LHome edge in this league 34% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Viking FK vs Kristiansund BK: Viking FK are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Viking FK host Kristiansund BK in the Eliteserien on Sun 13 Sept, 12:30 at Viking Stadion. Our prediction for Viking FK vs Kristiansund BK is Viking FK to win, with a 73% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Viking FK to win at 1.35.

Viking FK form

Viking FK have 14 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Kristiansund BK form

Kristiansund BK have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Viking FK won 1, Kristiansund BK won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Kristiansund BK 1, Viking FK 2.

Our call

We expect Viking FK to score about 2.8 goals and Kristiansund BK about 1.0. That points to Viking FK to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Viking FK to win at 1.35. Our bold bet is Viking FK to win and both score at 2.72.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Viking FK	Kristiansund
Games played	20	20
Wins	14	5
Draws	2	5
Losses	4	10
Goals scored	44	19
Goals conceded	22	29
Scored per game	2.2	0.9
Conceded per game	1.1	1.4
Home record	8W 0D 0L	4W 2D 4L
Away record	6W 2D 4L	1W 3D 6L
Clean sheets	25%	20%
Both teams scored	70%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	75%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Viking FK to win	74%	1.36	1.35	-0.7%
A Draw	14%	7.11	5.75	-19.1%
Kristiansund BK to win	9%	10.62	7.00	-34.1%
Over 3.5 goals	48%	2.10	1.95	-7.3%
Under 3.5 goals	50%	2.00	1.77	-11.5%
Viking FK -1.5	49%	2.03	1.87	-7.8%
Kristiansund BK +1.5	48%	2.08	1.83	-11.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	90%	1.12
Over 2.5 goals	73%	1.37
Over 3.5 goals	52%	1.91
Both teams to score	61%	1.64
Viking FK or Draw	89%	1.13
Kristiansund BK or Draw	27%	3.68
Viking FK to win and Over 2.5	58%	1.71
Kristiansund BK to win and Over 2.5	8%	12.33
Viking FK clean sheet	35%	2.82
Kristiansund BK clean sheet	6%	15.62

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-18.9%

2-08.6%

3-18.1%

3-07.8%

1-16.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Viking FK vs Kristiansund BK?

Our prediction for Viking FK vs Kristiansund BK is Viking FK to win, with a 73% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Viking FK to win at 1.35.

What is the score prediction for Viking FK vs Kristiansund BK?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 3-1. We expect Viking FK to score 2.8 goals and Kristiansund BK 1.0.

Will both teams score in Viking FK vs Kristiansund BK?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Viking FK last 20 games and 10 of Kristiansund BK last 20.

How are Viking FK playing?

How are Kristiansund BK playing?

What happened when Viking FK and Kristiansund BK last met?

It ended Kristiansund BK 1, Viking FK 2. In the last 1 meeting Viking FK won 1 and Kristiansund BK won 0.

What is the best bet for Viking FK vs Kristiansund BK?

Viking FK to win at 1.35, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Viking FK against Kristiansund. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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