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Predictions › Europa League › Viktoria Plzen vs Levski Sofia
Europa LeagueThu 22 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Viktoria Plzen vs Levski Sofia prediction

Doosan Arena

Viktoria PlzenHome
1.07 : 1.27
expected goals
Levski SofiaAway
30%Viktoria Plzen
29%Draw
40%Levski Sofia
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Viktoria Plzen vs Levski Sofia is Levski Sofia to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Levski Sofia to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Viktoria Plzen 1.1, Levski Sofia 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.211 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Viktoria Plzen 30%, the draw 29% and Levski Sofia 40%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Viktoria Plzen took 6 points from their last 5 games and Levski Sofia took 0 from 1. Viktoria Plzen come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Viktoria Plzen score 1.0 goals a game and let in 0.8. Levski Sofia score 0.0 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Viktoria Plzen games and 0 of Levski Sofia games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Viktoria Plzenrecent form-3%
  • Viktoria Plzenrest between games-3%
  • Levski Sofiarest between games-3%
Viktoria Plzen form L W L L DLevski Sofia form L L D W WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Viktoria Plzen vs Levski Sofia: Levski Sofia shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Viktoria Plzen host Levski Sofia in the Europa League on Thu 22 Oct, 19:00 at Doosan Arena. Our prediction for Viktoria Plzen vs Levski Sofia is Levski Sofia to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Viktoria Plzen form

Viktoria Plzen have 3 wins, 7 draws and 1 loss in their last 11 games, with 11 goals scored and 9 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, D, newest first.

Levski Sofia form

Levski Sofia have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 1 games, with 0 goals scored and 1 conceded. Their last 1 results read L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Viktoria Plzen to score about 1.1 goals and Levski Sofia about 1.3. That points to Levski Sofia to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.21.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 11 games in all competitions.

Viktoria PlzenLevski Sofia
Games played111
Wins30
Draws70
Losses11
Goals scored110
Goals conceded91
Scored per game1.00.0
Conceded per game0.81.0
Home record1W 4D 1L0W 0D 1L
Away record2W 3D 0Ln/a
Clean sheets45%0%
Both teams scored45%0%
Over 2.5 goals36%0%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals69%1.46
Over 2.5 goals41%2.41
Over 3.5 goals21%4.78
Both teams to score48%2.08
Viktoria Plzen or Draw60%1.67
Levski Sofia or Draw70%1.43
Viktoria Plzen to win and Over 2.515%6.53
Levski Sofia to win and Over 2.521%4.76
Viktoria Plzen clean sheet28%3.57
Levski Sofia clean sheet34%2.91

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.9%
0-111.5%
0-010.4%
1-09.5%
1-28.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Viktoria Plzen vs Levski Sofia?

Our prediction for Viktoria Plzen vs Levski Sofia is Levski Sofia to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Viktoria Plzen vs Levski Sofia?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Viktoria Plzen to score 1.1 goals and Levski Sofia 1.3.

Will both teams score in Viktoria Plzen vs Levski Sofia?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of Viktoria Plzen last 11 games and 0 of Levski Sofia last 1.

How are Viktoria Plzen playing?

Viktoria Plzen have 3 wins, 7 draws and 1 loss in their last 11 games, with 11 goals scored and 9 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, D, newest first.

How are Levski Sofia playing?

Levski Sofia have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 1 games, with 0 goals scored and 1 conceded. Their last 1 results read L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Viktoria Plzen vs Levski Sofia?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Viktoria Plzen against Levski Sofia. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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