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College FootballSat 21 Nov, 00:00 United States time

Virginia Tech Hokies vs Miami Hurricanes prediction

Hard Rock Stadium

Virginia Tech HokiesAway
19.0 : 39.0
projected points
Miami HurricanesHome
10%Virginia Tech
90%Miami
Eagle safe pickMiami -9.5
-305

Quick answer

Our prediction for Virginia Tech Hokies vs Miami Hurricanes is Miami Hurricanes to win, with a 90% chance. We project Virginia Tech Hokies 19.0 and Miami Hurricanes 39.0. Our best bet is Miami -9.5 at -305.

Prediction
Miami Hurricanes to win
Chance
90%
Projected score
Virginia Tech Hokies 19, Miami Hurricanes 39
Projected total
57.9 points
Best bet
Miami -9.5 at -305

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Miami -9.5
75% chanceFair price -3052 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Miami Hurricanes 90% and Virginia Tech Hokies 10%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Miami Hurricanes won 4 of their last 5 and Virginia Tech Hokies won 2 of their last 5. Miami Hurricanes come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Miami Hurricanes won 7 of their last 8 games at home. Virginia Tech Hokies won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Miami Hurricanes score 36.3 points a game and let in 17.1. Virginia Tech Hokies score 28.1 and let in 26.8. Their recent games average 53.4 and 54.9 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Miami Hurricanes won 1 and Virginia Tech Hokies won 0. The last one ended Virginia Tech Hokies 17, Miami Hurricanes 34.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Miami -9.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Virginia Tech Hokies vs Miami Hurricanes: Miami Hurricanes are favourites

The big picture

Miami Hurricanes host Virginia Tech Hokies in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 00:00 at Hard Rock Stadium. Our prediction for Virginia Tech Hokies vs Miami Hurricanes is Miami Hurricanes to win, with a 90% chance. We project Virginia Tech Hokies 19.0 and Miami Hurricanes 39.0. Our best bet is Miami -9.5 at -305.

Miami Hurricanes form

Miami Hurricanes have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 725 points scored and 342 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Virginia Tech Hokies form

Virginia Tech Hokies have 9 wins and 10 losses in their last 19 games, with 534 points scored and 509 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Miami Hurricanes won 1, Virginia Tech Hokies won 0. Last time out it finished Virginia Tech Hokies 17, Miami Hurricanes 34.

Our call

We expect Virginia Tech Hokies to score about 19.0 points and Miami Hurricanes about 39.0. That points to Miami Hurricanes to win. Our safest bet is Miami -9.5 at -305.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MiamiVirginia Tech
Games played2019
Wins169
Losses410
Points scored725534
Points conceded342509
Scored per game36.328.1
Conceded per game17.126.8
Home record7W 1L5W 5L
Away record9W 3L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Miami spreadCoversFair
Miami -26.534%+192
Miami -22.544%+128
Miami -19.551%-105
Miami -16.559%-142
Miami -12.568%-213
Total pointsOverUnder
50.568%32%
54.558%42%
57.551%49%
60.544%56%
64.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Miami +3.5 wins if Miami win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Virginia Tech Hokies vs Miami Hurricanes?

Our prediction for Virginia Tech Hokies vs Miami Hurricanes is Miami Hurricanes to win, with a 90% chance. We project Virginia Tech Hokies 19.0 and Miami Hurricanes 39.0. Our best bet is Miami -9.5 at -305.

What is the projected score for Virginia Tech Hokies vs Miami Hurricanes?

We project Virginia Tech Hokies 19.0 and Miami Hurricanes 39.0, about 57.9 points in total.

How are Miami Hurricanes playing?

Miami Hurricanes have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 725 points scored and 342 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Virginia Tech Hokies playing?

Virginia Tech Hokies have 9 wins and 10 losses in their last 19 games, with 534 points scored and 509 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Miami Hurricanes and Virginia Tech Hokies last met?

It ended Virginia Tech Hokies 17, Miami Hurricanes 34. In the last 1 meeting Miami Hurricanes won 1 and Virginia Tech Hokies won 0.

What is the best bet for Virginia Tech Hokies vs Miami Hurricanes?

Miami -9.5 at -305, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Miami against Virginia Tech. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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