Predictions › Italy › Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia

Serie BSat 10 Oct, 13:00 Italy time

Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia prediction

Comunale Aldo Gastaldi

Virtus EntellaHome

1.45 : 1.03

expected goals

Juve StabiaAway

46%Virtus Entella

28%Draw

26%Juve Stabia

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia is Virtus Entella to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction: Virtus Entella to win
Chance: 46%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Virtus Entella 1.4, Juve Stabia 1.0
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score: 50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

76% chanceFair price 1.322 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Juve Stabia to win

25% chancePrice 3.95+0.4% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Virtus Entella 46%, the draw 28% and Juve Stabia 26%. The bookmakers agree and make Virtus Entella the favourite at 2.05.
2
Recent form
Virtus Entella took 5 points from their last 5 games and Juve Stabia took 5 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Virtus Entella won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Juve Stabia won 2 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Virtus Entella score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Juve Stabia score 1.1 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Virtus Entella games and 7 of Juve Stabia games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Virtus Entella won 0 and Juve Stabia won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Juve Stabia 1, Virtus Entella 0.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Virtus Entellarecent form-1%
Juve Stabiarecent form-1%

Virtus Entella form D W D L LJuve Stabia form D D L W LHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia: Virtus Entella are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Virtus Entella host Juve Stabia in the Serie B on Sat 10 Oct, 13:00 at Comunale Aldo Gastaldi. Our prediction for Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia is Virtus Entella to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Virtus Entella form

Virtus Entella have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Juve Stabia form

Juve Stabia have 4 wins, 10 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Virtus Entella won 0, Juve Stabia won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Juve Stabia 1, Virtus Entella 0.

Our call

We expect Virtus Entella to score about 1.4 goals and Juve Stabia about 1.0. That points to Virtus Entella to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Juve Stabia to win at 3.95.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Virtus Entella	Juve Stabia
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	4
Draws	4	10
Losses	9	6
Goals scored	23	21
Goals conceded	27	25
Scored per game	1.1	1.1
Conceded per game	1.4	1.3
Home record	5W 2D 3L	2W 5D 2L
Away record	2W 2D 6L	2W 5D 4L
Clean sheets	20%	15%
Both teams scored	50%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Virtus Entella to win	43%	2.33	2.05	-11.9%
A Draw	27%	3.69	2.95	-20.1%
Juve Stabia to win	25%	3.94	3.95	+0.4%
Over 2.5 goals	43%	2.35	2.00	-14.8%
Under 2.5 goals	51%	1.95	1.69	-13.5%
Virtus Entella -0.5	43%	2.31	1.95	-15.6%
Juve Stabia +0.5	50%	1.98	1.69	-14.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	72%	1.40
Over 2.5 goals	45%	2.22
Over 3.5 goals	24%	4.20
Both teams to score	50%	2.00
Virtus Entella or Draw	74%	1.35
Juve Stabia or Draw	54%	1.85
Virtus Entella to win and Over 2.5	26%	3.88
Juve Stabia to win and Over 2.5	14%	7.25
Virtus Entella clean sheet	36%	2.80
Juve Stabia clean sheet	23%	4.26

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.3%

1-011.4%

0-09.1%

2-19.1%

2-08.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia?

Our prediction for Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia is Virtus Entella to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Virtus Entella to score 1.4 goals and Juve Stabia 1.0.

Will both teams score in Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Virtus Entella last 20 games and 13 of Juve Stabia last 20.

How are Virtus Entella playing?

How are Juve Stabia playing?

What happened when Virtus Entella and Juve Stabia last met?

It ended Juve Stabia 1, Virtus Entella 0. In the last 1 meeting Virtus Entella won 0 and Juve Stabia won 1.

What is the best bet for Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Virtus Entella against Juve Stabia. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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