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Predictions › Italy › Virtus Entella vs Modena
Serie BSun 8 Nov, 14:00 Italy time

Virtus Entella vs Modena prediction

Comunale Aldo Gastaldi

Virtus EntellaHome
1.01 : 1.21
expected goals
ModenaAway
30%Virtus Entella
30%Draw
40%Modena
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Virtus Entella vs Modena is Modena to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
Modena to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Virtus Entella 1.0, Modena 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.111 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Virtus Entella 30%, the draw 30% and Modena 40%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Virtus Entella took 6 points from their last 5 games and Modena took 12 from 5. Modena come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Virtus Entella won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Modena won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Virtus Entella score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.1. Modena score 1.4 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Virtus Entella games and 13 of Modena games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Virtus Entella won 1 and Modena won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Virtus Entella 2, Modena 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Modenarecent form+3%
  • Virtus Entellarest between games-5%
  • Modenarest between games-5%
Virtus Entella form D L W D DModena form D W L W WHome edge in this league 28% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Virtus Entella vs Modena: Modena shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Virtus Entella host Modena in the Serie B on Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 at Comunale Aldo Gastaldi. Our prediction for Virtus Entella vs Modena is Modena to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Virtus Entella form

Virtus Entella have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, D, newest first.

Modena form

Modena have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Virtus Entella won 1, Modena won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Virtus Entella 2, Modena 1.

Our call

We expect Virtus Entella to score about 1.0 goals and Modena about 1.2. That points to Modena to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.11.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Virtus EntellaModena
Games played2020
Wins79
Draws64
Losses77
Goals scored2329
Goals conceded2222
Scored per game1.11.4
Conceded per game1.11.1
Home record4W 4D 3L6W 1D 3L
Away record3W 2D 4L3W 3D 4L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored55%60%
Over 2.5 goals45%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals66%1.52
Over 2.5 goals38%2.62
Over 3.5 goals18%5.43
Both teams to score45%2.21
Virtus Entella or Draw60%1.67
Modena or Draw70%1.42
Virtus Entella to win and Over 2.514%7.15
Modena to win and Over 2.520%5.11
Virtus Entella clean sheet30%3.36
Modena clean sheet37%2.73

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.1%
0-112.4%
0-011.7%
1-010.2%
1-28.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Virtus Entella vs Modena?

Our prediction for Virtus Entella vs Modena is Modena to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Virtus Entella vs Modena?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Virtus Entella to score 1.0 goals and Modena 1.2.

Will both teams score in Virtus Entella vs Modena?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Virtus Entella last 20 games and 12 of Modena last 20.

How are Virtus Entella playing?

Virtus Entella have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, D, newest first.

How are Modena playing?

Modena have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Virtus Entella and Modena last met?

It ended Virtus Entella 2, Modena 1. In the last 2 meetings Virtus Entella won 1 and Modena won 1.

What is the best bet for Virtus Entella vs Modena?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Virtus Entella against Modena. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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