Predictions › Italy › Virtus Entella vs US Avellino

Serie BTue 27 Oct, 19:00 Italy time

Virtus Entella vs US Avellino prediction

Comunale Aldo Gastaldi

Virtus EntellaHome

1.47 : 0.95

expected goals

US AvellinoAway

49%Virtus Entella

28%Draw

24%Avellino

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Virtus Entella vs US Avellino is Virtus Entella to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction: Virtus Entella to win
Chance: 49%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Virtus Entella 1.5, US Avellino 0.9
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score: 48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

77% chanceFair price 1.302 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Virtus Entella to win and Over 2.5

25% chanceFair price 3.941 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Virtus Entella 49%, the draw 28% and US Avellino 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Virtus Entella took 9 points from their last 5 games and US Avellino took 10 from 5. US Avellino come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Virtus Entella won 4 of their last 10 games at home. US Avellino won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Virtus Entella score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.3. US Avellino score 1.3 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Virtus Entella games and 9 of US Avellino games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Virtus Entella won 0 and US Avellino won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Virtus Entella 1, US Avellino 2.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Virtus Entellarecent form+1%
Avellinorecent form+1%
Virtus Entellarest between games-5%

Virtus Entella form D D D W DAvellino form D L D W WHome edge in this league 30% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Virtus Entella vs US Avellino: Virtus Entella are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Virtus Entella host US Avellino in the Serie B on Tue 27 Oct, 19:00 at Comunale Aldo Gastaldi. Our prediction for Virtus Entella vs US Avellino is Virtus Entella to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Virtus Entella form

Virtus Entella have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, D, newest first.

US Avellino form

US Avellino have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Virtus Entella won 0, US Avellino won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Virtus Entella 1, US Avellino 2.

Our call

We expect Virtus Entella to score about 1.5 goals and US Avellino about 0.9. That points to Virtus Entella to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Virtus Entella to win and Over 2.5 at 3.94.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Virtus Entella	Avellino
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	9
Draws	5	4
Losses	8	7
Goals scored	23	25
Goals conceded	25	24
Scored per game	1.1	1.3
Conceded per game	1.3	1.2
Home record	4W 3D 3L	6W 3D 1L
Away record	3W 2D 5L	3W 1D 6L
Clean sheets	20%	35%
Both teams scored	55%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	70%	1.42
Over 2.5 goals	44%	2.29
Over 3.5 goals	23%	4.43
Both teams to score	48%	2.08
Virtus Entella or Draw	76%	1.31
US Avellino or Draw	51%	1.94
Virtus Entella to win and Over 2.5	27%	3.76
US Avellino to win and Over 2.5	12%	8.38
Virtus Entella clean sheet	39%	2.59
US Avellino clean sheet	23%	4.35

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.2%

1-012.3%

0-09.6%

2-09.6%

2-19.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Virtus Entella vs US Avellino?

Our prediction for Virtus Entella vs US Avellino is Virtus Entella to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Virtus Entella vs US Avellino?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Virtus Entella to score 1.5 goals and US Avellino 0.9.

Will both teams score in Virtus Entella vs US Avellino?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Virtus Entella last 20 games and 9 of US Avellino last 20.

How are Virtus Entella playing?

How are US Avellino playing?

What happened when Virtus Entella and US Avellino last met?

It ended Virtus Entella 1, US Avellino 2. In the last 2 meetings Virtus Entella won 0 and US Avellino won 2.

What is the best bet for Virtus Entella vs US Avellino?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Virtus Entella against Avellino. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.