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Predictions › Japan › Vissel Kobe vs Mito Hollyhock
J1 LeagueFri 20 Nov, 10:00 Japan time

Vissel Kobe vs Mito Hollyhock prediction

Kobe Wing Stadium

Vissel KobeHome
2.48 : 0.61
expected goals
Mito HollyhockAway
78%Vissel Kobe
15%Draw
7%Mito Hollyhock
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Vissel Kobe vs Mito Hollyhock is Vissel Kobe to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction
Vissel Kobe to win
Chance
78%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Vissel Kobe 2.5, Mito Hollyhock 0.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score
42%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Vissel Kobe to win and both score
28% chanceFair price 3.551 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Vissel Kobe 78%, the draw 15% and Mito Hollyhock 7%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Vissel Kobe took 8 points from their last 5 games and Mito Hollyhock took 0 from 5. Vissel Kobe come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Vissel Kobe won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Mito Hollyhock won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Vissel Kobe score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.1. Mito Hollyhock score 0.7 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Vissel Kobe games and 9 of Mito Hollyhock games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Vissel Koberecent form+4%
  • Mito Hollyhockrecent form-7%
  • Vissel Koberest between games-2%
  • Mito Hollyhockrest between games-2%
Vissel Kobe form D W W W DMito Hollyhock form L L L L LHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Vissel Kobe vs Mito Hollyhock: Vissel Kobe are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Vissel Kobe host Mito Hollyhock in the J1 League on Fri 20 Nov, 10:00 at Kobe Wing Stadium. Our prediction for Vissel Kobe vs Mito Hollyhock is Vissel Kobe to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Vissel Kobe form

Vissel Kobe have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Mito Hollyhock form

Mito Hollyhock have 2 wins, 3 draws and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Vissel Kobe to score about 2.5 goals and Mito Hollyhock about 0.6. That points to Vissel Kobe to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Vissel Kobe to win and both score at 3.55.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Vissel KobeMito Hollyhock
Games played2020
Wins112
Draws43
Losses515
Goals scored3214
Goals conceded2139
Scored per game1.60.7
Conceded per game1.11.9
Home record6W 3D 1L1W 2D 8L
Away record5W 1D 4L1W 1D 7L
Clean sheets45%0%
Both teams scored40%45%
Over 2.5 goals55%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.68
Over 3.5 goals37%2.68
Both teams to score42%2.36
Vissel Kobe or Draw93%1.07
Mito Hollyhock or Draw22%4.50
Vissel Kobe to win and Over 2.553%1.89
Mito Hollyhock to win and Over 2.54%28.12
Vissel Kobe clean sheet54%1.85
Mito Hollyhock clean sheet8%11.89

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-013.9%
3-011.5%
1-010.9%
2-18.6%
1-17.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Vissel Kobe vs Mito Hollyhock?

Our prediction for Vissel Kobe vs Mito Hollyhock is Vissel Kobe to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Vissel Kobe vs Mito Hollyhock?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 3-0 and 1-0. We expect Vissel Kobe to score 2.5 goals and Mito Hollyhock 0.6.

Will both teams score in Vissel Kobe vs Mito Hollyhock?

Both teams to score has a 42% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Vissel Kobe last 20 games and 9 of Mito Hollyhock last 20.

How are Vissel Kobe playing?

Vissel Kobe have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Mito Hollyhock playing?

Mito Hollyhock have 2 wins, 3 draws and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Vissel Kobe vs Mito Hollyhock?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Vissel Kobe against Mito Hollyhock. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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