Predictions › Japan › Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus

J1 LeagueSat 31 Oct, 06:00 Japan time

Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus prediction

Kobe Wing Stadium

Vissel KobeHome

2.17 : 0.95

expected goals

Nagoya GrampusAway

65%Vissel Kobe

21%Draw

15%Nagoya

Eagle safe pickVissel Kobe or Draw

1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus is Vissel Kobe to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Vissel Kobe or Draw at 1.18.

Prediction: Vissel Kobe to win
Chance: 65%
Most likely score: 2-0
Expected goals: Vissel Kobe 2.2, Nagoya Grampus 0.9
Best bet: Vissel Kobe or Draw at 1.18
Both teams to score: 55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Vissel Kobe or Draw

85% chanceFair price 1.182 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Vissel Kobe to win and Over 2.5

45% chanceFair price 2.221 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Vissel Kobe 65%, the draw 21% and Nagoya Grampus 15%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Vissel Kobe took 12 points from their last 5 games and Nagoya Grampus took 6 from 5. Vissel Kobe come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Vissel Kobe won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Nagoya Grampus won 4 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Vissel Kobe score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.2. Nagoya Grampus score 1.5 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Vissel Kobe games and 15 of Nagoya Grampus games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Vissel Kobe won 2 and Nagoya Grampus won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Vissel Kobe 3, Nagoya Grampus 2.
6
The safest bet
Vissel Kobe or Draw has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Vissel Koberecent form+3%
Nagoyarecent form-3%

Vissel Kobe form D W L W WNagoya form D W L L LHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus: Vissel Kobe are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Vissel Kobe host Nagoya Grampus in the J1 League on Sat 31 Oct, 06:00 at Kobe Wing Stadium. Our prediction for Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus is Vissel Kobe to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Vissel Kobe or Draw at 1.18.

Vissel Kobe form

Vissel Kobe have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Nagoya Grampus form

Nagoya Grampus have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Vissel Kobe won 2, Nagoya Grampus won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Vissel Kobe 3, Nagoya Grampus 2.

Our call

We expect Vissel Kobe to score about 2.2 goals and Nagoya Grampus about 0.9. That points to Vissel Kobe to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Vissel Kobe or Draw at 1.18. Our bold bet is Vissel Kobe to win and Over 2.5 at 2.22.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Vissel Kobe	Nagoya
Games played	20	20
Wins	11	8
Draws	4	3
Losses	5	9
Goals scored	30	30
Goals conceded	24	35
Scored per game	1.5	1.5
Conceded per game	1.2	1.8
Home record	6W 2D 1L	4W 3D 2L
Away record	5W 2D 4L	4W 0D 7L
Clean sheets	45%	10%
Both teams scored	35%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	82%	1.21
Over 2.5 goals	60%	1.66
Over 3.5 goals	38%	2.63
Both teams to score	55%	1.82
Vissel Kobe or Draw	85%	1.17
Nagoya Grampus or Draw	35%	2.83
Vissel Kobe to win and Over 2.5	45%	2.21
Nagoya Grampus to win and Over 2.5	9%	10.85
Vissel Kobe clean sheet	39%	2.59
Nagoya Grampus clean sheet	11%	8.77

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-010.4%

2-19.9%

1-19.6%

1-09.0%

3-07.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus?

Our prediction for Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus is Vissel Kobe to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Vissel Kobe or Draw at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-1. We expect Vissel Kobe to score 2.2 goals and Nagoya Grampus 0.9.

Will both teams score in Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Vissel Kobe last 20 games and 14 of Nagoya Grampus last 20.

How are Vissel Kobe playing?

How are Nagoya Grampus playing?

What happened when Vissel Kobe and Nagoya Grampus last met?

It ended Vissel Kobe 3, Nagoya Grampus 2. In the last 2 meetings Vissel Kobe won 2 and Nagoya Grampus won 0.

What is the best bet for Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus?

Vissel Kobe or Draw at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Vissel Kobe against Nagoya. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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