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Predictions › Belgium › Waasland-Beveren vs Union St.-Gilloise
Belgian Pro LeagueSat 31 Oct, 19:45 Belgium time

Waasland-Beveren vs Union St.-Gilloise prediction

Freethielstadion

Waasland-BeverenHome
1.20 : 1.45
expected goals
Union St.-GilloiseAway
30%Waasland-Beveren
27%Draw
42%Union SG
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Waasland-Beveren vs Union St.-Gilloise is Union St.-Gilloise to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction
Union St.-Gilloise to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Waasland-Beveren 1.2, Union St.-Gilloise 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.671 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Waasland-Beveren 30%, the draw 27% and Union St.-Gilloise 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Waasland-Beveren took 6 points from their last 5 games and Union St.-Gilloise took 11 from 5. Union St.-Gilloise come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Waasland-Beveren won 3 of their last 4 games at home. Union St.-Gilloise won 7 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Waasland-Beveren score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.8. Union St.-Gilloise score 2.1 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of Waasland-Beveren games and 12 of Union St.-Gilloise games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Union SGrecent form+4%
Waasland-Beveren form D L W W LUnion SG form D D W W WHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Waasland-Beveren vs Union St.-Gilloise: Union St.-Gilloise shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Waasland-Beveren host Union St.-Gilloise in the Belgian Pro League on Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 at Freethielstadion. Our prediction for Waasland-Beveren vs Union St.-Gilloise is Union St.-Gilloise to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Waasland-Beveren form

Waasland-Beveren have 3 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 8 games, with 8 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 4. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Union St.-Gilloise form

Union St.-Gilloise have 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Waasland-Beveren to score about 1.2 goals and Union St.-Gilloise about 1.4. That points to Union St.-Gilloise to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.67.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Waasland-BeverenUnion SG
Games played820
Wins313
Draws05
Losses52
Goals scored842
Goals conceded1415
Scored per game1.02.1
Conceded per game1.80.8
Home record3W 0D 1L6W 4D 0L
Away record0W 0D 4L7W 1D 2L
Clean sheets38%55%
Both teams scored25%40%
Over 2.5 goals63%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.33
Over 2.5 goals49%2.03
Over 3.5 goals27%3.64
Both teams to score54%1.85
Waasland-Beveren or Draw58%1.73
Union St.-Gilloise or Draw70%1.44
Waasland-Beveren to win and Over 2.518%5.68
Union St.-Gilloise to win and Over 2.525%3.96
Waasland-Beveren clean sheet23%4.27
Union St.-Gilloise clean sheet30%3.31

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.0%
0-19.5%
1-28.9%
0-07.8%
1-07.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Waasland-Beveren vs Union St.-Gilloise?

Our prediction for Waasland-Beveren vs Union St.-Gilloise is Union St.-Gilloise to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Waasland-Beveren vs Union St.-Gilloise?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Waasland-Beveren to score 1.2 goals and Union St.-Gilloise 1.4.

Will both teams score in Waasland-Beveren vs Union St.-Gilloise?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 2 of Waasland-Beveren last 8 games and 8 of Union St.-Gilloise last 20.

How are Waasland-Beveren playing?

Waasland-Beveren have 3 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 8 games, with 8 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 4. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Union St.-Gilloise playing?

Union St.-Gilloise have 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Waasland-Beveren vs Union St.-Gilloise?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Waasland-Beveren against Union SG. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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