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Predictions › United States › Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs SMU Mustangs
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 12:00 United States time

Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs SMU Mustangs prediction

Gerald J. Ford Stadium

Wake Forest Demon DeaconsAway
29.0 : 26.2
projected points
SMU MustangsHome
60%Wake Forest
40%SMU
Eagle safe pickSMU +13.5
-312

Quick answer

Our prediction for Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs SMU Mustangs is Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win, with a 60% chance. We project Wake Forest Demon Deacons 29.0 and SMU Mustangs 26.2. Our best bet is SMU +13.5 at -312.

Prediction
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win
Chance
60%
Projected score
Wake Forest Demon Deacons 29, SMU Mustangs 26
Projected total
55.2 points
Best bet
SMU +13.5 at -312

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

SMU +13.5
76% chanceFair price -3122 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

SMU to win
40% chancePrice +1401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives SMU Mustangs 40% and Wake Forest Demon Deacons 60%. The bookmakers agree and make Wake Forest Demon Deacons the favourite at -166.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    SMU Mustangs won 4 of their last 5 and Wake Forest Demon Deacons won 5 of their last 5. Wake Forest Demon Deacons come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    SMU Mustangs won 10 of their last 10 games at home. Wake Forest Demon Deacons won 8 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    SMU Mustangs score 32.3 points a game and let in 20.2. Wake Forest Demon Deacons score 32.9 and let in 21.6. Their recent games average 52.5 and 54.6 points in total, and the market line is 55.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, SMU Mustangs won 0 and Wake Forest Demon Deacons won 1. The last one ended Wake Forest Demon Deacons 13, SMU Mustangs 12.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    SMU +13.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs SMU Mustangs: Wake Forest Demon Deacons are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

SMU Mustangs host Wake Forest Demon Deacons in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 12:00 at Gerald J. Ford Stadium. Our prediction for Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs SMU Mustangs is Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win, with a 60% chance. We project Wake Forest Demon Deacons 29.0 and SMU Mustangs 26.2. Our best bet is SMU +13.5 at -312.

SMU Mustangs form

SMU Mustangs have 14 wins and 5 losses in their last 19 games, with 614 points scored and 384 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons form

Wake Forest Demon Deacons have 14 wins and 5 losses in their last 19 games, with 626 points scored and 411 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. SMU Mustangs won 0, Wake Forest Demon Deacons won 1. Last time out it finished Wake Forest Demon Deacons 13, SMU Mustangs 12.

Our call

We expect Wake Forest Demon Deacons to score about 29.0 points and SMU Mustangs about 26.2. That points to Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win. Our safest bet is SMU +13.5 at -312. Our bold bet is SMU to win at +140.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

SMUWake Forest
Games played1919
Wins1414
Losses55
Points scored614626
Points conceded384411
Scored per game32.332.9
Conceded per game20.221.6
Home record10W 0L6W 3L
Away record4W 5L8W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
SMU to win40%+152+140-4.9%
Wake Forest to win53%-114-166-14.6%
SMU +3.548%+110-115-10.8%
Wake Forest -3.545%+121-105-11.6%
Over 55.5 points46%+117-110-12.2%
Under 55.5 points47%+113-110-10.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

SMU spreadCoversFair
SMU -4.532%+210
SMU -0.542%+140
SMU +2.549%+104
SMU +5.557%-130
SMU +9.566%-195
Total pointsOverUnder
48.566%34%
52.557%43%
55.549%51%
58.542%58%
62.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. SMU +3.5 wins if SMU win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Record Setting Night for Darian Mensah as Miami Beats Wake Forest

Darian Mensah set two ACC completion records as fifth ranked Miami leaned on its defense to secure a 33-20 win over Wake Forest.

19 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs SMU Mustangs?

Our prediction for Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs SMU Mustangs is Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win, with a 60% chance. We project Wake Forest Demon Deacons 29.0 and SMU Mustangs 26.2. Our best bet is SMU +13.5 at -312.

What is the projected score for Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs SMU Mustangs?

We project Wake Forest Demon Deacons 29.0 and SMU Mustangs 26.2, about 55.2 points in total.

How are SMU Mustangs playing?

SMU Mustangs have 14 wins and 5 losses in their last 19 games, with 614 points scored and 384 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Wake Forest Demon Deacons playing?

Wake Forest Demon Deacons have 14 wins and 5 losses in their last 19 games, with 626 points scored and 411 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when SMU Mustangs and Wake Forest Demon Deacons last met?

It ended Wake Forest Demon Deacons 13, SMU Mustangs 12. In the last 1 meeting SMU Mustangs won 0 and Wake Forest Demon Deacons won 1.

What is the best bet for Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs SMU Mustangs?

SMU +13.5 at -312, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in SMU against Wake Forest. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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