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NHLSat 21 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Washington Capitals vs Boston Bruins prediction

TD Garden

Washington CapitalsAway
2.5 : 3.6
projected goals
Boston BruinsHome
28%Capitals
72%Bruins
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-515

Quick answer

Our prediction for Washington Capitals vs Boston Bruins is Boston Bruins to win, with a 72% chance. We project Washington Capitals 2.5 and Boston Bruins 3.6. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -515.

Prediction
Boston Bruins to win
Chance
72%
Projected score
Washington Capitals 2, Boston Bruins 4
Projected total
6.0 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -515

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
84% chanceFair price -5152 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Capitals to win
29% chanceFair price +2451 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Boston Bruins 72% and Washington Capitals 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Boston Bruins won 4 of their last 5 and Washington Capitals won 3 of their last 5. Boston Bruins come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Boston Bruins won 8 of their last 9 games at home. Washington Capitals won 4 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Boston Bruins score 3.5 goals a game and let in 2.3. Washington Capitals score 3.5 and let in 3.0. Their recent games average 5.8 and 6.6 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Boston Bruins won 4 and Washington Capitals won 1. The last one ended Washington Capitals 3, Boston Bruins 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Capitalsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Washington Capitals vs Boston Bruins: Boston Bruins are favourites

The big picture

Boston Bruins host Washington Capitals in the NHL on Sat 21 Nov, 19:00 at TD Garden. Our prediction for Washington Capitals vs Boston Bruins is Boston Bruins to win, with a 72% chance. We project Washington Capitals 2.5 and Boston Bruins 3.6. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -515.

Boston Bruins form

Boston Bruins have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 46 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Washington Capitals form

Washington Capitals have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 71 goals scored and 61 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Boston Bruins won 4, Washington Capitals won 1. Last time out it finished Washington Capitals 3, Boston Bruins 2.

Our call

We expect Washington Capitals to score about 2.5 goals and Boston Bruins about 3.6. That points to Boston Bruins to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -515. Our bold bet is Capitals to win at +245.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BruinsCapitals
Games played2020
Wins1313
Losses77
Goals scored7071
Goals conceded4661
Scored per game3.53.5
Conceded per game2.33.0
Home record8W 1L9W 4L
Away record5W 6L4W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Bruins spreadCoversFair
Bruins -2.528%+255
Bruins -1.544%+129
Bruins -0.560%-151
Total goalsOverUnder
5.559%41%
6.542%58%
7.526%74%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Bruins +3.5 wins if Bruins win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Washington Capitals vs Boston Bruins?

Our prediction for Washington Capitals vs Boston Bruins is Boston Bruins to win, with a 72% chance. We project Washington Capitals 2.5 and Boston Bruins 3.6. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -515.

What is the projected score for Washington Capitals vs Boston Bruins?

We project Washington Capitals 2.5 and Boston Bruins 3.6, about 6.0 goals in total.

How are Boston Bruins playing?

Boston Bruins have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 46 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Washington Capitals playing?

Washington Capitals have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 71 goals scored and 61 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Boston Bruins and Washington Capitals last met?

It ended Washington Capitals 3, Boston Bruins 2. In the last 5 meetings Boston Bruins won 4 and Washington Capitals won 1.

What is the best bet for Washington Capitals vs Boston Bruins?

Under 8 goals at -515, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bruins against Capitals. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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