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Predictions › United States › Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators
NHLTue 10 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators prediction

Canadian Tire Centre

Washington CapitalsAway
2.9 : 3.2
projected goals
Ottawa SenatorsHome
48%Capitals
52%Senators
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-493

Quick answer

Our prediction for Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators is Ottawa Senators to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Washington Capitals 2.9 and Ottawa Senators 3.2. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -493.

Prediction
Ottawa Senators to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Washington Capitals 3, Ottawa Senators 3
Projected total
6.1 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -493

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
83% chanceFair price -4932 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Capitals to win
42% chanceFair price +1401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Ottawa Senators 52% and Washington Capitals 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Ottawa Senators won 2 of their last 5 and Washington Capitals won 4 of their last 5. Washington Capitals come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Ottawa Senators won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Washington Capitals won 6 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Ottawa Senators score 3.0 goals a game and let in 3.3. Washington Capitals score 3.6 and let in 2.5. Their recent games average 6.3 and 6.1 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Ottawa Senators won 2 and Washington Capitals won 1. The last one ended Washington Capitals 4, Ottawa Senators 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Senatorsrest between games-5%
  • Capitalsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators: Ottawa Senators shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Ottawa Senators host Washington Capitals in the NHL on Tue 10 Nov, 19:00 at Canadian Tire Centre. Our prediction for Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators is Ottawa Senators to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Washington Capitals 2.9 and Ottawa Senators 3.2. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -493.

Ottawa Senators form

Ottawa Senators have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 60 goals scored and 65 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Washington Capitals form

Washington Capitals have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 73 goals scored and 49 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Ottawa Senators won 2, Washington Capitals won 1. Last time out it finished Washington Capitals 4, Ottawa Senators 1.

Our call

We expect Washington Capitals to score about 2.9 goals and Ottawa Senators about 3.2. That points to Ottawa Senators to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -493. Our bold bet is Capitals to win at +140.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SenatorsCapitals
Games played2020
Wins1015
Losses105
Goals scored6073
Goals conceded6549
Scored per game3.03.6
Conceded per game3.32.5
Home record6W 3L9W 2L
Away record4W 7L6W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Senators spreadCoversFair
Senators -1.532%+214
Senators -0.548%+109
Senators +0.564%-178
Total goalsOverUnder
5.560%40%
6.543%57%
7.527%73%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Senators +3.5 wins if Senators win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Ottawa Forward Hayden Hodgson Handed Two Game Suspension

Ottawa Senators forward Hayden Hodgson has received a two game ban for boarding Los Angeles Kings defenseman Brandt Clarke.

31 Oct 2026
NHL

Hayden Hodgson Ejected as Kings Edge Senators 6-5

Hayden Hodgson was ejected for boarding Brandt Clarke, and the Kings survived an Ottawa comeback to win 6-5.

30 Oct 2026
NHL

Brady Tkachuk Scores Amid Boos in Heated Return to Ottawa

Brady Tkachuk heard boos all night and scored a goal in his first game back in Ottawa since being traded to the Florida Panthers.

22 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators?

Our prediction for Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators is Ottawa Senators to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Washington Capitals 2.9 and Ottawa Senators 3.2. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -493.

What is the projected score for Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators?

We project Washington Capitals 2.9 and Ottawa Senators 3.2, about 6.1 goals in total.

How are Ottawa Senators playing?

Ottawa Senators have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 60 goals scored and 65 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Washington Capitals playing?

Washington Capitals have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 73 goals scored and 49 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Ottawa Senators and Washington Capitals last met?

It ended Washington Capitals 4, Ottawa Senators 1. In the last 3 meetings Ottawa Senators won 2 and Washington Capitals won 1.

What is the best bet for Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators?

Under 8 goals at -493, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Senators against Capitals. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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