Predictions › United States › Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers
NFLMon 19 Oct, 20:15 United States time

Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers prediction

Levi's Stadium

Washington CommandersAway
20.3 : 28.7
projected points
San Francisco 49ersHome
25%Commanders
75%49ers
Eagle safe pickUnder 57.5 points
-294

Quick answer

Our prediction for Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers is San Francisco 49ers to win, with a 75% chance. We project Washington Commanders 20.3 and San Francisco 49ers 28.7. Our best bet is Under 57.5 points at -294.

Prediction
San Francisco 49ers to win
Chance
75%
Projected score
Washington Commanders 20, San Francisco 49ers 29
Projected total
49.0 points
Best bet
Under 57.5 points at -294

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 57.5 points
75% chanceFair price -2941 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives San Francisco 49ers 75% and Washington Commanders 25%. The bookmakers agree and make San Francisco 49ers the favourite at -426.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    San Francisco 49ers won 5 of their last 5 and Washington Commanders won 1 of their last 5. San Francisco 49ers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    San Francisco 49ers won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Washington Commanders won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    San Francisco 49ers score 26.8 points a game and let in 20.8. Washington Commanders score 18.6 and let in 27.4. Their recent games average 47.5 and 46.0 points in total, and the market line is 50.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 57.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • 49ersteam news-3%
  • Commandersteam news-4%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers: San Francisco 49ers are favourites

The big picture

San Francisco 49ers host Washington Commanders in the NFL on Mon 19 Oct, 20:15 at Levi's Stadium. Our prediction for Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers is San Francisco 49ers to win, with a 75% chance. We project Washington Commanders 20.3 and San Francisco 49ers 28.7. Our best bet is Under 57.5 points at -294.

San Francisco 49ers form

San Francisco 49ers have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 535 points scored and 415 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Washington Commanders form

Washington Commanders have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 373 points scored and 547 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Washington Commanders to score about 20.3 points and San Francisco 49ers about 28.7. That points to San Francisco 49ers to win. Our safest bet is Under 57.5 points at -294.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

49ersCommanders
Games played2020
Wins155
Losses515
Points scored535373
Points conceded415547
Scored per game26.818.6
Conceded per game20.827.4
Home record7W 3L2W 7L
Away record8W 2L3W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
49ers to win75%-307-426-6.9%
Commanders to win23%+342+330-2.7%
49ers -7.549%+104-110-6.6%
Commanders +7.544%+126-110-15.5%
Over 50.5 points43%+135-110-18.8%
Under 50.5 points51%-103-110-3.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

49ers spreadCoversFair
49ers -15.530%+235
49ers -11.541%+145
49ers -8.550%+101
49ers -5.558%-141
49ers -1.569%-228
Total pointsOverUnder
42.569%31%
46.558%42%
49.549%51%
52.539%61%
56.528%72%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. 49ers +3.5 wins if 49ers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers?

Our prediction for Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers is San Francisco 49ers to win, with a 75% chance. We project Washington Commanders 20.3 and San Francisco 49ers 28.7. Our best bet is Under 57.5 points at -294.

What is the projected score for Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers?

We project Washington Commanders 20.3 and San Francisco 49ers 28.7, about 49.0 points in total.

How are San Francisco 49ers playing?

San Francisco 49ers have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 535 points scored and 415 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Washington Commanders playing?

Washington Commanders have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 373 points scored and 547 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers?

Under 57.5 points at -294, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in 49ers against Commanders. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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