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Predictions › United States › Washington Mystics vs Atlanta Dream
WNBAFri 2 Oct, 00:00 United States time

Washington Mystics vs Atlanta Dream prediction

State Farm Arena

Washington MysticsAway
83.6 : 87.5
projected points
Atlanta DreamHome
36%Mystics
64%Dream
Eagle safe pickDream +3.5
-304

Quick answer

Our prediction for Washington Mystics vs Atlanta Dream is Atlanta Dream to win, with a 64% chance. We project Washington Mystics 83.6 and Atlanta Dream 87.5. Our best bet is Dream +3.5 at -304.

Prediction
Atlanta Dream to win
Chance
64%
Projected score
Washington Mystics 84, Atlanta Dream 87
Projected total
171.1 points
Best bet
Dream +3.5 at -304

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Dream +3.5
75% chanceFair price -3042 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Mystics to win
33% chanceFair price +1991 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlanta Dream 64% and Washington Mystics 36%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlanta Dream won 5 of their last 5 and Washington Mystics won 4 of their last 5. Atlanta Dream come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlanta Dream won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Washington Mystics won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Atlanta Dream score 94.0 points a game and let in 83.4. Washington Mystics score 88.7 and let in 83.5. Their recent games average 177.4 and 172.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Atlanta Dream won 2 and Washington Mystics won 3. The last one ended Atlanta Dream 92, Washington Mystics 77.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Dream +3.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Dreamrest between games-5%
  • Mysticsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Washington Mystics vs Atlanta Dream: Atlanta Dream are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Atlanta Dream host Washington Mystics in the WNBA on Fri 2 Oct, 00:00 at State Farm Arena. Our prediction for Washington Mystics vs Atlanta Dream is Atlanta Dream to win, with a 64% chance. We project Washington Mystics 83.6 and Atlanta Dream 87.5. Our best bet is Dream +3.5 at -304.

Atlanta Dream form

Atlanta Dream have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 1881 points scored and 1668 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Washington Mystics form

Washington Mystics have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 1773 points scored and 1670 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Atlanta Dream won 2, Washington Mystics won 3. Last time out it finished Atlanta Dream 92, Washington Mystics 77.

Our call

We expect Washington Mystics to score about 83.6 points and Atlanta Dream about 87.5. That points to Atlanta Dream to win. Our safest bet is Dream +3.5 at -304. Our bold bet is Mystics to win at +199.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DreamMystics
Games played2020
Wins1615
Losses45
Points scored18811773
Points conceded16681670
Scored per game94.088.7
Conceded per game83.483.5
Home record8W 3L10W 1L
Away record8W 1L5W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Dream spreadCoversFair
Dream -9.531%+227
Dream -6.541%+146
Dream -3.551%-106
Dream -0.562%-164
Dream +2.572%-257
Total pointsOverUnder
165.564%36%
168.557%43%
171.549%51%
174.541%59%
177.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Dream +3.5 wins if Dream win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
WNBA

DeWanna Bonner Powers Atlanta Dream Past Mystics in Playoff Opener

DeWanna Bonner sparked a third-quarter run to lift the Atlanta Dream to a 92-77 win over the Washington Mystics in Game 1.

6 hours ago
WNBA

Mystics Make History With Record Breaking 27th Victory

The Washington Mystics set a franchise record with their 27th win of the season, beating the Connecticut Sun 79-69 on Tuesday.

23 Sept 2026
WNBA

Breanna Stewart Rare Technical Foul Ends Nine Year Streak in Liberty Loss

Breanna Stewart picked up a rare technical foul as the New York Liberty fell 95-84 to Atlanta, ending her nine year streak without one.

22 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Washington Mystics vs Atlanta Dream?

Our prediction for Washington Mystics vs Atlanta Dream is Atlanta Dream to win, with a 64% chance. We project Washington Mystics 83.6 and Atlanta Dream 87.5. Our best bet is Dream +3.5 at -304.

What is the projected score for Washington Mystics vs Atlanta Dream?

We project Washington Mystics 83.6 and Atlanta Dream 87.5, about 171.1 points in total.

How are Atlanta Dream playing?

Atlanta Dream have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 1881 points scored and 1668 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Washington Mystics playing?

Washington Mystics have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 1773 points scored and 1670 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Atlanta Dream and Washington Mystics last met?

It ended Atlanta Dream 92, Washington Mystics 77. In the last 5 meetings Atlanta Dream won 2 and Washington Mystics won 3.

What is the best bet for Washington Mystics vs Atlanta Dream?

Dream +3.5 at -304, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Dream against Mystics. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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