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Predictions › United States › Washington Nationals vs Detroit Tigers
MLBTue 22 Sept, 18:40 United States time

Washington Nationals vs Detroit Tigers prediction

Comerica Park

Washington NationalsAway
4.1 : 4.5
projected runs
Detroit TigersHome
45%Nationals
55%Tigers
Eagle safe pickNationals +2.5
-231

Quick answer

Our prediction for Washington Nationals vs Detroit Tigers is Detroit Tigers to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Washington Nationals 4.1 and Detroit Tigers 4.5. Our best bet is Nationals +2.5 at -231.

Prediction
Detroit Tigers to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
Washington Nationals 4, Detroit Tigers 4
Projected total
8.6 runs
Best bet
Nationals +2.5 at -231

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Nationals +2.5
70% chanceFair price -2311 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Nationals to win
44% chanceFair price +1281 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Detroit Tigers 55% and Washington Nationals 45%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Detroit Tigers won 4 of their last 5 and Washington Nationals won 2 of their last 5. Detroit Tigers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Detroit Tigers won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Washington Nationals won 0 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Detroit Tigers score 4.0 runs a game and let in 4.8. Washington Nationals score 4.4 and let in 5.1. Their recent games average 8.7 and 9.5 runs in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Nationals +2.5 has a 70% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Tigersrest between games-5%
  • Nationalsrest between games-5%
  • Tigersteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Washington Nationals vs Detroit Tigers: Detroit Tigers shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Detroit Tigers host Washington Nationals in the MLB on Tue 22 Sept, 18:40 at Comerica Park. Our prediction for Washington Nationals vs Detroit Tigers is Detroit Tigers to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Washington Nationals 4.1 and Detroit Tigers 4.5. Our best bet is Nationals +2.5 at -231.

Detroit Tigers form

Detroit Tigers have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 79 runs scored and 95 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Washington Nationals form

Washington Nationals have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 88 runs scored and 102 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 8 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Washington Nationals to score about 4.1 runs and Detroit Tigers about 4.5. That points to Detroit Tigers to win. Our safest bet is Nationals +2.5 at -231. Our bold bet is Nationals to win at +128.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TigersNationals
Games played2020
Wins88
Losses1212
Runs scored7988
Runs conceded95102
Scored per game4.04.4
Conceded per game4.85.1
Home record6W 5L8W 4L
Away record2W 7L0W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Tigers spreadCoversFair
Tigers -2.531%+222
Tigers -1.540%+151
Tigers -0.549%+103
Tigers +0.559%-142
Tigers +1.568%-209
Total runsOverUnder
6.568%32%
7.559%41%
8.550%50%
9.541%59%
10.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Tigers +3.5 wins if Tigers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
MLB

Justin Verlander Nears One Final Start For Detroit Tigers

Injured Tigers ace Justin Verlander is making progress and hopes to pitch one final time during a planned celebration of his career in Detroit.

35 min ago

Questions people ask

Who will win Washington Nationals vs Detroit Tigers?

Our prediction for Washington Nationals vs Detroit Tigers is Detroit Tigers to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Washington Nationals 4.1 and Detroit Tigers 4.5. Our best bet is Nationals +2.5 at -231.

What is the projected score for Washington Nationals vs Detroit Tigers?

We project Washington Nationals 4.1 and Detroit Tigers 4.5, about 8.6 runs in total.

How are Detroit Tigers playing?

Detroit Tigers have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 79 runs scored and 95 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Washington Nationals playing?

Washington Nationals have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 88 runs scored and 102 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 8 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Washington Nationals vs Detroit Tigers?

Nationals +2.5 at -231, with a 70% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tigers against Nationals. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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