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Predictions › United States › Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers
NBAWed 11 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers prediction

Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Washington WizardsAway
116.3 : 119.5
projected points
Indiana PacersHome
45%Wizards
55%Pacers
Eagle safe pickWizards +11.5
-308

Quick answer

Our prediction for Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers is Indiana Pacers to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Washington Wizards 116.3 and Indiana Pacers 119.5. Our best bet is Wizards +11.5 at -308.

Prediction
Indiana Pacers to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
Washington Wizards 116, Indiana Pacers 120
Projected total
235.8 points
Best bet
Wizards +11.5 at -308

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Wizards +11.5
75% chanceFair price -3082 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Wizards to win
39% chanceFair price +1591 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Indiana Pacers 55% and Washington Wizards 45%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Indiana Pacers won 1 of their last 5 and Washington Wizards won 2 of their last 5. Washington Wizards come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Indiana Pacers won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Washington Wizards won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Indiana Pacers score 116.0 points a game and let in 117.5. Washington Wizards score 112.7 and let in 121.5. Their recent games average 233.5 and 234.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Indiana Pacers won 1 and Washington Wizards won 3. The last one ended Washington Wizards 131, Indiana Pacers 118.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Wizards +11.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Pacersrest between games-5%
  • Wizardsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers: Indiana Pacers shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Indiana Pacers host Washington Wizards in the NBA on Wed 11 Nov, 19:00 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Our prediction for Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers is Indiana Pacers to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Washington Wizards 116.3 and Indiana Pacers 119.5. Our best bet is Wizards +11.5 at -308.

Indiana Pacers form

Indiana Pacers have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2320 points scored and 2350 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Washington Wizards form

Washington Wizards have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2253 points scored and 2431 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Indiana Pacers won 1, Washington Wizards won 3. Last time out it finished Washington Wizards 131, Indiana Pacers 118.

Our call

We expect Washington Wizards to score about 116.3 points and Indiana Pacers about 119.5. That points to Indiana Pacers to win. Our safest bet is Wizards +11.5 at -308. Our bold bet is Wizards to win at +159.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PacersWizards
Games played2020
Wins65
Losses1415
Points scored23202253
Points conceded23502431
Scored per game116.0112.7
Conceded per game117.5121.5
Home record2W 9L3W 6L
Away record4W 5L2W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Pacers spreadCoversFair
Pacers -9.531%+223
Pacers -6.540%+151
Pacers -3.549%+103
Pacers -0.559%-143
Pacers +2.568%-211
Total pointsOverUnder
229.564%36%
232.557%43%
235.551%49%
238.544%56%
241.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Pacers +3.5 wins if Pacers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Top Pick AJ Dybantsa Scores 19 in Debut Loss to Cavaliers

AJ Dybantsa scored 19 points in his NBA debut, but the Washington Wizards lost 121-111 to the Cleveland Cavaliers on Wednesday.

29 Oct 2026
NBA

Tyrese Haliburton Return Leads Pacers Past Pelicans

Tyrese Haliburton scored 23 points in his return from an Achilles injury as the Indiana Pacers beat the New Orleans Pelicans 123-120.

22 Oct 2026
NBA

AJ Dybantsa Suffers Ankle Injury in Wizards Preseason Finale

First overall pick AJ Dybantsa left the Wizards preseason finale with an ankle injury and will undergo further tests before opening night.

17 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers?

Our prediction for Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers is Indiana Pacers to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Washington Wizards 116.3 and Indiana Pacers 119.5. Our best bet is Wizards +11.5 at -308.

What is the projected score for Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers?

We project Washington Wizards 116.3 and Indiana Pacers 119.5, about 235.8 points in total.

How are Indiana Pacers playing?

Indiana Pacers have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2320 points scored and 2350 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Washington Wizards playing?

Washington Wizards have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2253 points scored and 2431 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Indiana Pacers and Washington Wizards last met?

It ended Washington Wizards 131, Indiana Pacers 118. In the last 4 meetings Indiana Pacers won 1 and Washington Wizards won 3.

What is the best bet for Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers?

Wizards +11.5 at -308, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pacers against Wizards. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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