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Predictions › United States › Washington Wizards vs New Orleans Pelicans
NBAFri 16 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Washington Wizards vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction

Smoothie King Center

Washington WizardsAway
116.4 : 126.2
projected points
New Orleans PelicansHome
23%Wizards
77%Pelicans
Eagle safe pickPelicans to win
-329

Quick answer

Our prediction for Washington Wizards vs New Orleans Pelicans is New Orleans Pelicans to win, with a 77% chance. We project Washington Wizards 116.4 and New Orleans Pelicans 126.2. Our best bet is Pelicans to win at -329.

Prediction
New Orleans Pelicans to win
Chance
77%
Projected score
Washington Wizards 116, New Orleans Pelicans 126
Projected total
242.6 points
Best bet
Pelicans to win at -329

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Pelicans to win
77% chanceFair price -3292 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New Orleans Pelicans 77% and Washington Wizards 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New Orleans Pelicans won 2 of their last 5 and Washington Wizards won 0 of their last 5. New Orleans Pelicans come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New Orleans Pelicans won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Washington Wizards won 1 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New Orleans Pelicans score 117.7 points a game and let in 119.0. Washington Wizards score 115.0 and let in 130.6. Their recent games average 236.7 and 245.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, New Orleans Pelicans won 2 and Washington Wizards won 0. The last one ended New Orleans Pelicans 138, Washington Wizards 118.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Pelicans to win has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Pelicansrest between games-5%
  • Wizardsrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Washington Wizards vs New Orleans Pelicans: New Orleans Pelicans are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

New Orleans Pelicans host Washington Wizards in the NBA on Fri 16 Oct, 20:00 at Smoothie King Center. Our prediction for Washington Wizards vs New Orleans Pelicans is New Orleans Pelicans to win, with a 77% chance. We project Washington Wizards 116.4 and New Orleans Pelicans 126.2. Our best bet is Pelicans to win at -329.

New Orleans Pelicans form

New Orleans Pelicans have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2353 points scored and 2380 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Washington Wizards form

Washington Wizards have 1 win and 19 losses in their last 20 games, with 2301 points scored and 2612 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 11 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. New Orleans Pelicans won 2, Washington Wizards won 0. Last time out it finished New Orleans Pelicans 138, Washington Wizards 118.

Our call

We expect Washington Wizards to score about 116.4 points and New Orleans Pelicans about 126.2. That points to New Orleans Pelicans to win. Our safest bet is Pelicans to win at -329.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PelicansWizards
Games played2020
Wins81
Losses1219
Points scored23532301
Points conceded23802612
Scored per game117.7115.0
Conceded per game119.0130.6
Home record6W 3L0W 8L
Away record2W 9L1W 11L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Pelicans spreadCoversFair
Pelicans -15.532%+210
Pelicans -12.541%+142
Pelicans -9.551%-103
Pelicans -6.560%-152
Pelicans -3.569%-224
Total pointsOverUnder
236.563%37%
239.557%43%
242.550%50%
245.544%56%
248.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Pelicans +3.5 wins if Pelicans win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Washington Wizards vs New Orleans Pelicans?

Our prediction for Washington Wizards vs New Orleans Pelicans is New Orleans Pelicans to win, with a 77% chance. We project Washington Wizards 116.4 and New Orleans Pelicans 126.2. Our best bet is Pelicans to win at -329.

What is the projected score for Washington Wizards vs New Orleans Pelicans?

We project Washington Wizards 116.4 and New Orleans Pelicans 126.2, about 242.6 points in total.

How are New Orleans Pelicans playing?

New Orleans Pelicans have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2353 points scored and 2380 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Washington Wizards playing?

Washington Wizards have 1 win and 19 losses in their last 20 games, with 2301 points scored and 2612 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 11 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when New Orleans Pelicans and Washington Wizards last met?

It ended New Orleans Pelicans 138, Washington Wizards 118. In the last 2 meetings New Orleans Pelicans won 2 and Washington Wizards won 0.

What is the best bet for Washington Wizards vs New Orleans Pelicans?

Pelicans to win at -329, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pelicans against Wizards. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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