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Predictions › United Kingdom › Watford vs Charlton Athletic
ChampionshipSat 17 Oct, 12:30 United Kingdom time

Watford vs Charlton Athletic prediction

Vicarage Road

WatfordHome
1.41 : 1.06
expected goals
Charlton AthleticAway
44%Watford
28%Draw
28%Charlton
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Watford vs Charlton Athletic is Watford to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction
Watford to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Watford 1.4, Charlton Athletic 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1/32 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Watford 44%, the draw 28% and Charlton Athletic 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Watford took 3 points from their last 5 games and Charlton Athletic took 3 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Watford won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Charlton Athletic won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Watford score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.9. Charlton Athletic score 1.1 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Watford games and 11 of Charlton Athletic games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Watford won 0 and Charlton Athletic won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Watford 1, Charlton Athletic 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Watfordrecent form-4%
  • Charltonrecent form-3%
Watford form L L W L LCharlton form L D D L DHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Watford vs Charlton Athletic: Watford shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Watford host Charlton Athletic in the Championship on Sat 17 Oct, 12:30 at Vicarage Road. Our prediction for Watford vs Charlton Athletic is Watford to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

Watford form

Watford have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Charlton Athletic form

Charlton Athletic have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Watford won 0, Charlton Athletic won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Watford 1, Charlton Athletic 1.

Our call

We expect Watford to score about 1.4 goals and Charlton Athletic about 1.1. That points to Watford to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WatfordCharlton
Games played2020
Wins46
Draws46
Losses128
Goals scored1621
Goals conceded3830
Scored per game0.81.1
Conceded per game1.91.5
Home record4W 3D 4L3W 2D 4L
Away record0W 1D 8L3W 4D 4L
Clean sheets10%20%
Both teams scored55%70%
Over 2.5 goals50%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%2/5
Over 2.5 goals45%5/4
Over 3.5 goals23%10/3
Both teams to score50%Evens
Watford or Draw72%4/11
Charlton Athletic or Draw56%4/5
Watford to win and Over 2.525%3/1
Charlton Athletic to win and Over 2.515%6/1
Watford clean sheet35%15/8
Charlton Athletic clean sheet24%3/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.4%
1-011.2%
0-09.3%
2-18.9%
2-08.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Watford vs Charlton Athletic?

Our prediction for Watford vs Charlton Athletic is Watford to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Watford vs Charlton Athletic?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Watford to score 1.4 goals and Charlton Athletic 1.1.

Will both teams score in Watford vs Charlton Athletic?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Watford last 20 games and 14 of Charlton Athletic last 20.

How are Watford playing?

Watford have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Charlton Athletic playing?

Charlton Athletic have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Watford and Charlton Athletic last met?

It ended Watford 1, Charlton Athletic 1. In the last 1 meeting Watford won 0 and Charlton Athletic won 0.

What is the best bet for Watford vs Charlton Athletic?

Under 3.5 goals at 1/3, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Watford against Charlton. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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