Predictions › United Kingdom › West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton
ChampionshipTue 3 Nov, 20:00 United Kingdom time

West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton prediction

The Hawthorns

West Bromwich AlbionHome
1.23 : 1.40
expected goals
SouthamptonAway
32%West Brom
28%Draw
40%Southampton
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton is Southampton to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction
Southampton to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
West Bromwich Albion 1.2, Southampton 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1/32 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives West Bromwich Albion 32%, the draw 28% and Southampton 40%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    West Bromwich Albion took 7 points from their last 5 games and Southampton took 10 from 5. Southampton come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    West Bromwich Albion won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Southampton won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    West Bromwich Albion score 1.4 goals a game and let in 0.9. Southampton score 1.9 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of West Bromwich Albion games and 13 of Southampton games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, West Bromwich Albion won 0 and Southampton won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended West Bromwich Albion 1, Southampton 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Southamptonrecent form+3%
  • West Bromrest between games-5%
  • Southamptonrest between games-5%
West Brom form D W W L LSouthampton form W D W W LHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton: Southampton shade it

The big picture

West Bromwich Albion host Southampton in the Championship on Tue 3 Nov, 20:00 at The Hawthorns. Our prediction for West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton is Southampton to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

West Bromwich Albion form

West Bromwich Albion have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Southampton form

Southampton have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. West Bromwich Albion won 0, Southampton won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished West Bromwich Albion 1, Southampton 1.

Our call

We expect West Bromwich Albion to score about 1.2 goals and Southampton about 1.4. That points to Southampton to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

West BromSouthampton
Games played2020
Wins910
Draws66
Losses54
Goals scored2837
Goals conceded1924
Scored per game1.41.9
Conceded per game0.91.2
Home record4W 4D 1L6W 3D 1L
Away record5W 2D 4L4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets35%25%
Both teams scored55%75%
Over 2.5 goals45%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1/3
Over 2.5 goals49%21/20
Over 3.5 goals27%11/4
Both teams to score54%5/6
West Bromwich Albion or Draw60%4/6
Southampton or Draw68%1/2
West Bromwich Albion to win and Over 2.519%9/2
Southampton to win and Over 2.524%10/3
West Bromwich Albion clean sheet25%3/1
Southampton clean sheet29%12/5

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
0-19.3%
1-28.7%
1-08.1%
0-07.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton?

Our prediction for West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton is Southampton to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect West Bromwich Albion to score 1.2 goals and Southampton 1.4.

Will both teams score in West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of West Bromwich Albion last 20 games and 15 of Southampton last 20.

How are West Bromwich Albion playing?

West Bromwich Albion have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Southampton playing?

Southampton have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when West Bromwich Albion and Southampton last met?

It ended West Bromwich Albion 1, Southampton 1. In the last 2 meetings West Bromwich Albion won 0 and Southampton won 1.

What is the best bet for West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/3, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in West Brom against Southampton. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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