Predictions › United States › West Virginia Mountaineers vs Iowa State Cyclones
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 12:00 United States time

West Virginia Mountaineers vs Iowa State Cyclones prediction

Jack Trice Stadium

West Virginia MountaineersAway
24.7 : 28.3
projected points
Iowa State CyclonesHome
45%West Virginia
55%Iowa State
Eagle safe pickIowa State +7
-304

Quick answer

Our prediction for West Virginia Mountaineers vs Iowa State Cyclones is Iowa State Cyclones to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project West Virginia Mountaineers 24.7 and Iowa State Cyclones 28.3. Our best bet is Iowa State +7 at -304.

Prediction
Iowa State Cyclones to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
West Virginia Mountaineers 25, Iowa State Cyclones 28
Projected total
53.0 points
Best bet
Iowa State +7 at -304

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Iowa State +7
75% chanceFair price -3042 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Iowa State Cyclones 55% and West Virginia Mountaineers 45%. The bookmakers agree and make Iowa State Cyclones the favourite at -155.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Iowa State Cyclones won 3 of their last 5 and West Virginia Mountaineers won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Iowa State Cyclones won 4 of their last 7 games at home. West Virginia Mountaineers won 2 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Iowa State Cyclones score 27.5 points a game and let in 20.4. West Virginia Mountaineers score 25.1 and let in 32.1. Their recent games average 47.8 and 57.1 points in total, and the market line is 52.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Iowa State +7 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Iowa Staterest between games-5%
  • West Virginiarest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

West Virginia Mountaineers vs Iowa State Cyclones: Iowa State Cyclones shade it

The big picture

Iowa State Cyclones host West Virginia Mountaineers in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 12:00 at Jack Trice Stadium. Our prediction for West Virginia Mountaineers vs Iowa State Cyclones is Iowa State Cyclones to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project West Virginia Mountaineers 24.7 and Iowa State Cyclones 28.3. Our best bet is Iowa State +7 at -304.

Iowa State Cyclones form

Iowa State Cyclones have 7 wins and 6 losses in their last 13 games, with 357 points scored and 265 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

West Virginia Mountaineers form

West Virginia Mountaineers have 6 wins and 8 losses in their last 14 games, with 351 points scored and 449 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect West Virginia Mountaineers to score about 24.7 points and Iowa State Cyclones about 28.3. That points to Iowa State Cyclones to win. Our safest bet is Iowa State +7 at -304.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 14 games in all competitions.

Iowa StateWest Virginia
Games played1314
Wins76
Losses68
Points scored357351
Points conceded265449
Scored per game27.525.1
Conceded per game20.432.1
Home record4W 3L4W 4L
Away record3W 3L2W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Iowa State to win55%-124-155-8.9%
West Virginia to win38%+161+130-11.8%
Iowa State -348%+107-105-5.8%
West Virginia +346%+120-115-14.9%
Over 52.5 points48%+108-110-8.0%
Under 52.5 points46%+119-110-13.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Iowa State spreadCoversFair
Iowa State -10.533%+201
Iowa State -6.543%+134
Iowa State -3.550%-100
Iowa State -0.558%-135
Iowa State +3.567%-203
Total pointsOverUnder
46.566%34%
50.556%44%
53.549%51%
56.541%59%
60.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Iowa State +3.5 wins if Iowa State win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win West Virginia Mountaineers vs Iowa State Cyclones?

Our prediction for West Virginia Mountaineers vs Iowa State Cyclones is Iowa State Cyclones to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project West Virginia Mountaineers 24.7 and Iowa State Cyclones 28.3. Our best bet is Iowa State +7 at -304.

What is the projected score for West Virginia Mountaineers vs Iowa State Cyclones?

We project West Virginia Mountaineers 24.7 and Iowa State Cyclones 28.3, about 53.0 points in total.

How are Iowa State Cyclones playing?

Iowa State Cyclones have 7 wins and 6 losses in their last 13 games, with 357 points scored and 265 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are West Virginia Mountaineers playing?

West Virginia Mountaineers have 6 wins and 8 losses in their last 14 games, with 351 points scored and 449 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for West Virginia Mountaineers vs Iowa State Cyclones?

Iowa State +7 at -304, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Iowa State against West Virginia. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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