Predictions › United States › West Virginia Mountaineers vs TCU Horned Frogs
College FootballSat 24 Oct, 12:00 United States time

West Virginia Mountaineers vs TCU Horned Frogs prediction

Amon G. Carter Stadium

West Virginia MountaineersAway
23.1 : 33.4
projected points
TCU Horned FrogsHome
25%West Virginia
75%TCU
Eagle safe pickTCU to win
-296

Quick answer

Our prediction for West Virginia Mountaineers vs TCU Horned Frogs is TCU Horned Frogs to win, with a 75% chance. We project West Virginia Mountaineers 23.1 and TCU Horned Frogs 33.4. Our best bet is TCU to win at -296.

Prediction
TCU Horned Frogs to win
Chance
75%
Projected score
West Virginia Mountaineers 23, TCU Horned Frogs 33
Projected total
56.5 points
Best bet
TCU to win at -296

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

TCU to win
75% chanceFair price -2961 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives TCU Horned Frogs 75% and West Virginia Mountaineers 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    TCU Horned Frogs won 2 of their last 5 and West Virginia Mountaineers won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    TCU Horned Frogs won 8 of their last 11 games at home. West Virginia Mountaineers won 2 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    TCU Horned Frogs score 28.1 points a game and let in 22.5. West Virginia Mountaineers score 26.5 and let in 34.1. Their recent games average 50.6 and 60.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, TCU Horned Frogs won 1 and West Virginia Mountaineers won 0. The last one ended West Virginia Mountaineers 17, TCU Horned Frogs 23.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    TCU to win has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

West Virginia Mountaineers vs TCU Horned Frogs: TCU Horned Frogs are favourites

The big picture

TCU Horned Frogs host West Virginia Mountaineers in the College Football on Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 at Amon G. Carter Stadium. Our prediction for West Virginia Mountaineers vs TCU Horned Frogs is TCU Horned Frogs to win, with a 75% chance. We project West Virginia Mountaineers 23.1 and TCU Horned Frogs 33.4. Our best bet is TCU to win at -296.

TCU Horned Frogs form

TCU Horned Frogs have 10 wins and 7 losses in their last 17 games, with 478 points scored and 382 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

West Virginia Mountaineers form

West Virginia Mountaineers have 6 wins and 10 losses in their last 16 games, with 424 points scored and 546 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. TCU Horned Frogs won 1, West Virginia Mountaineers won 0. Last time out it finished West Virginia Mountaineers 17, TCU Horned Frogs 23.

Our call

We expect West Virginia Mountaineers to score about 23.1 points and TCU Horned Frogs about 33.4. That points to TCU Horned Frogs to win. Our safest bet is TCU to win at -296.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

TCUWest Virginia
Games played1716
Wins106
Losses710
Points scored478424
Points conceded382546
Scored per game28.126.5
Conceded per game22.534.1
Home record8W 3L4W 5L
Away record2W 4L2W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

TCU spreadCoversFair
TCU -17.533%+207
TCU -13.542%+138
TCU -10.549%+102
TCU -7.557%-132
TCU -3.566%-198
Total pointsOverUnder
49.567%33%
53.558%42%
56.550%50%
59.543%57%
63.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. TCU +3.5 wins if TCU win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win West Virginia Mountaineers vs TCU Horned Frogs?

Our prediction for West Virginia Mountaineers vs TCU Horned Frogs is TCU Horned Frogs to win, with a 75% chance. We project West Virginia Mountaineers 23.1 and TCU Horned Frogs 33.4. Our best bet is TCU to win at -296.

What is the projected score for West Virginia Mountaineers vs TCU Horned Frogs?

We project West Virginia Mountaineers 23.1 and TCU Horned Frogs 33.4, about 56.5 points in total.

How are TCU Horned Frogs playing?

TCU Horned Frogs have 10 wins and 7 losses in their last 17 games, with 478 points scored and 382 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are West Virginia Mountaineers playing?

West Virginia Mountaineers have 6 wins and 10 losses in their last 16 games, with 424 points scored and 546 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when TCU Horned Frogs and West Virginia Mountaineers last met?

It ended West Virginia Mountaineers 17, TCU Horned Frogs 23. In the last 1 meeting TCU Horned Frogs won 1 and West Virginia Mountaineers won 0.

What is the best bet for West Virginia Mountaineers vs TCU Horned Frogs?

TCU to win at -296, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in TCU against West Virginia. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.