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Predictions › United States › Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Liberty Flames
College FootballSat 21 Nov, 13:00 United States time

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Liberty Flames prediction

Williams Stadium (VA)

Western Kentucky HilltoppersAway
18.3 : 39.6
projected points
Liberty FlamesHome
9%Western KY
91%Liberty
Eagle safe pickOver 47.5 points
-304

Quick answer

Our prediction for Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Liberty Flames is Liberty Flames to win, with a 91% chance. We project Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 18.3 and Liberty Flames 39.6. Our best bet is Over 47.5 points at -304.

Prediction
Liberty Flames to win
Chance
91%
Projected score
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 18, Liberty Flames 40
Projected total
57.9 points
Best bet
Over 47.5 points at -304

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 47.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3042 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Liberty Flames 91% and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 9%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Liberty Flames won 5 of their last 5 and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won 2 of their last 5. Liberty Flames come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Liberty Flames won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won 5 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Liberty Flames score 29.2 points a game and let in 21.0. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers score 25.2 and let in 27.5. Their recent games average 50.2 and 52.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 47.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Liberty Flames: Liberty Flames are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Liberty Flames host Western Kentucky Hilltoppers in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 13:00 at Williams Stadium (VA). Our prediction for Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Liberty Flames is Liberty Flames to win, with a 91% chance. We project Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 18.3 and Liberty Flames 39.6. Our best bet is Over 47.5 points at -304.

Liberty Flames form

Liberty Flames have 11 wins and 8 losses in their last 19 games, with 555 points scored and 399 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers form

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have 10 wins and 9 losses in their last 19 games, with 479 points scored and 522 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to score about 18.3 points and Liberty Flames about 39.6. That points to Liberty Flames to win. Our safest bet is Over 47.5 points at -304.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

LibertyWestern KY
Games played1919
Wins1110
Losses89
Points scored555479
Points conceded399522
Scored per game29.225.2
Conceded per game21.027.5
Home record6W 3L5W 2L
Away record5W 5L5W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Liberty spreadCoversFair
Liberty -28.533%+206
Liberty -24.542%+137
Liberty -21.550%+102
Liberty -18.557%-133
Liberty -14.567%-199
Total pointsOverUnder
50.568%32%
54.558%42%
57.551%49%
60.544%56%
64.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Liberty +3.5 wins if Liberty win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Liberty Flames?

Our prediction for Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Liberty Flames is Liberty Flames to win, with a 91% chance. We project Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 18.3 and Liberty Flames 39.6. Our best bet is Over 47.5 points at -304.

What is the projected score for Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Liberty Flames?

We project Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 18.3 and Liberty Flames 39.6, about 57.9 points in total.

How are Liberty Flames playing?

Liberty Flames have 11 wins and 8 losses in their last 19 games, with 555 points scored and 399 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Western Kentucky Hilltoppers playing?

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have 10 wins and 9 losses in their last 19 games, with 479 points scored and 522 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Liberty Flames?

Over 47.5 points at -304, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Liberty against Western KY. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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