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Predictions › United States › Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
College FootballSat 7 Nov, 15:30 United States time

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders prediction

Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium

Western Kentucky HilltoppersAway
19.7 : 32.0
projected points
Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersHome
21%Western KY
79%MTSU
Eagle safe pickMTSU to win
-368

Quick answer

Our prediction for Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders is Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders to win, with a 79% chance. We project Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 19.7 and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 32.0. Our best bet is MTSU to win at -368.

Prediction
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders to win
Chance
79%
Projected score
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 20, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 32
Projected total
51.7 points
Best bet
MTSU to win at -368

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

MTSU to win
79% chanceFair price -3682 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 79% and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders won 3 of their last 5 and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders score 24.0 points a game and let in 28.7. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers score 24.3 and let in 26.2. Their recent games average 52.7 and 50.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders won 0 and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won 1. The last one ended Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 42, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 26.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    MTSU to win has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Western KYrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders host Western Kentucky Hilltoppers in the College Football on Sat 7 Nov, 15:30 at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium. Our prediction for Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders is Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders to win, with a 79% chance. We project Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 19.7 and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 32.0. Our best bet is MTSU to win at -368.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders form

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders have 7 wins and 10 losses in their last 17 games, with 408 points scored and 488 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers form

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have 10 wins and 8 losses in their last 18 games, with 437 points scored and 471 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders won 0, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won 1. Last time out it finished Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 42, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 26.

Our call

We expect Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to score about 19.7 points and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders about 32.0. That points to Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders to win. Our safest bet is MTSU to win at -368.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

MTSUWestern KY
Games played1718
Wins710
Losses108
Points scored408437
Points conceded488471
Scored per game24.024.3
Conceded per game28.726.2
Home record4W 4L5W 2L
Away record3W 6L5W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

MTSU spreadCoversFair
MTSU -19.533%+207
MTSU -15.542%+138
MTSU -12.549%+102
MTSU -9.557%-132
MTSU -5.566%-197
Total pointsOverUnder
44.567%33%
48.558%42%
51.551%49%
54.543%57%
58.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. MTSU +3.5 wins if MTSU win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders?

Our prediction for Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders is Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders to win, with a 79% chance. We project Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 19.7 and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 32.0. Our best bet is MTSU to win at -368.

What is the projected score for Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders?

We project Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 19.7 and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 32.0, about 51.7 points in total.

How are Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders playing?

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders have 7 wins and 10 losses in their last 17 games, with 408 points scored and 488 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Western Kentucky Hilltoppers playing?

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have 10 wins and 8 losses in their last 18 games, with 437 points scored and 471 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers last met?

It ended Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 42, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 26. In the last 1 meeting Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders won 0 and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won 1.

What is the best bet for Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders?

MTSU to win at -368, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in MTSU against Western KY. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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