Predictions › United States › Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Sam Houston Bearkats
College FootballWed 14 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Sam Houston Bearkats prediction

Elliott T. Bowers Stadium

Western Kentucky HilltoppersAway
19.1 : 35.1
projected points
Sam Houston BearkatsHome
18%Western KY
82%Sam Houston
Eagle safe pickSam Houston to win
-459

Quick answer

Our prediction for Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Sam Houston Bearkats is Sam Houston Bearkats to win, with a 82% chance. We project Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 19.1 and Sam Houston Bearkats 35.1. Our best bet is Sam Houston to win at -459.

Prediction
Sam Houston Bearkats to win
Chance
82%
Projected score
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 19, Sam Houston Bearkats 35
Projected total
54.1 points
Best bet
Sam Houston to win at -459

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Sam Houston to win
82% chanceFair price -4592 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sam Houston Bearkats 82% and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sam Houston Bearkats won 1 of their last 5 and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sam Houston Bearkats won 2 of their last 6 games at home. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Sam Houston Bearkats score 19.9 points a game and let in 33.4. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers score 24.4 and let in 28.0. Their recent games average 53.3 and 52.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Sam Houston to win has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Sam Houston Bearkats: Sam Houston Bearkats are favourites

The big picture

Sam Houston Bearkats host Western Kentucky Hilltoppers in the College Football on Wed 14 Oct, 20:00 at Elliott T. Bowers Stadium. Our prediction for Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Sam Houston Bearkats is Sam Houston Bearkats to win, with a 82% chance. We project Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 19.1 and Sam Houston Bearkats 35.1. Our best bet is Sam Houston to win at -459.

Sam Houston Bearkats form

Sam Houston Bearkats have 3 wins and 10 losses in their last 13 games, with 259 points scored and 434 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers form

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 366 points scored and 420 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to score about 19.1 points and Sam Houston Bearkats about 35.1. That points to Sam Houston Bearkats to win. Our safest bet is Sam Houston to win at -459.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

Sam HoustonWestern KY
Games played1315
Wins38
Losses107
Points scored259366
Points conceded434420
Scored per game19.924.4
Conceded per game33.428.0
Home record2W 4L4W 1L
Away record1W 6L4W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Sam Houston spreadCoversFair
Sam Houston -22.534%+192
Sam Houston -18.544%+129
Sam Houston -15.551%-105
Sam Houston -12.559%-142
Sam Houston -8.568%-213
Total pointsOverUnder
47.566%34%
51.557%43%
54.549%51%
57.542%58%
61.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Sam Houston +3.5 wins if Sam Houston win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Sam Houston Bearkats?

Our prediction for Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Sam Houston Bearkats is Sam Houston Bearkats to win, with a 82% chance. We project Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 19.1 and Sam Houston Bearkats 35.1. Our best bet is Sam Houston to win at -459.

What is the projected score for Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Sam Houston Bearkats?

We project Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 19.1 and Sam Houston Bearkats 35.1, about 54.1 points in total.

How are Sam Houston Bearkats playing?

Sam Houston Bearkats have 3 wins and 10 losses in their last 13 games, with 259 points scored and 434 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Western Kentucky Hilltoppers playing?

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 366 points scored and 420 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Sam Houston Bearkats?

Sam Houston to win at -459, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sam Houston against Western KY. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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