Predictions › United States › Western Michigan Broncos vs Buffalo Bulls
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 13:00 United States time

Western Michigan Broncos vs Buffalo Bulls prediction

Broadview Stadium

Western Michigan BroncosAway
30.1 : 17.1
projected points
Buffalo BullsHome
83%W Michigan
17%Buffalo
Eagle safe pickBuffalo +24
-310

Quick answer

Our prediction for Western Michigan Broncos vs Buffalo Bulls is Western Michigan Broncos to win, with a 83% chance. We project Western Michigan Broncos 30.1 and Buffalo Bulls 17.1. Our best bet is Buffalo +24 at -310.

Prediction
Western Michigan Broncos to win
Chance
83%
Projected score
Western Michigan Broncos 30, Buffalo Bulls 17
Projected total
47.2 points
Best bet
Buffalo +24 at -310

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Buffalo +24
76% chanceFair price -3102 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Buffalo Bulls 17% and Western Michigan Broncos 83%. The bookmakers agree and make Western Michigan Broncos the favourite at -676.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Buffalo Bulls won 2 of their last 5 and Western Michigan Broncos won 3 of their last 5. Western Michigan Broncos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Buffalo Bulls won 3 of their last 8 games at home. Western Michigan Broncos won 4 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Buffalo Bulls score 22.7 points a game and let in 27.6. Western Michigan Broncos score 25.5 and let in 16.7. Their recent games average 50.3 and 42.2 points in total, and the market line is 47.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Buffalo +24 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Buffalorest between games-5%
  • W Michiganrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Western Michigan Broncos vs Buffalo Bulls: Western Michigan Broncos are favourites

The big picture

Buffalo Bulls host Western Michigan Broncos in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 13:00 at Broadview Stadium. Our prediction for Western Michigan Broncos vs Buffalo Bulls is Western Michigan Broncos to win, with a 83% chance. We project Western Michigan Broncos 30.1 and Buffalo Bulls 17.1. Our best bet is Buffalo +24 at -310.

Buffalo Bulls form

Buffalo Bulls have 6 wins and 8 losses in their last 14 games, with 318 points scored and 386 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Western Michigan Broncos form

Western Michigan Broncos have 12 wins and 4 losses in their last 16 games, with 408 points scored and 267 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Western Michigan Broncos to score about 30.1 points and Buffalo Bulls about 17.1. That points to Western Michigan Broncos to win. Our safest bet is Buffalo +24 at -310.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

BuffaloW Michigan
Games played1416
Wins612
Losses84
Points scored318408
Points conceded386267
Scored per game22.725.5
Conceded per game27.616.7
Home record3W 5L8W 1L
Away record3W 3L4W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Buffalo to win17%+474+490+2.8%
W Michigan to win80%-400-676-8.2%
Buffalo +1449%+103-110-6.0%
W Michigan -1445%+125-110-15.0%
Over 47.5 points46%+116-108-11.0%
Under 47.5 points48%+110-112-10.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Buffalo spreadCoversFair
Buffalo +6.534%+194
Buffalo +10.544%+129
Buffalo +13.551%-104
Buffalo +16.558%-141
Buffalo +20.568%-211
Total pointsOverUnder
40.566%34%
44.557%43%
47.549%51%
50.542%58%
54.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Buffalo +3.5 wins if Buffalo win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Western Michigan Broncos vs Buffalo Bulls?

Our prediction for Western Michigan Broncos vs Buffalo Bulls is Western Michigan Broncos to win, with a 83% chance. We project Western Michigan Broncos 30.1 and Buffalo Bulls 17.1. Our best bet is Buffalo +24 at -310.

What is the projected score for Western Michigan Broncos vs Buffalo Bulls?

We project Western Michigan Broncos 30.1 and Buffalo Bulls 17.1, about 47.2 points in total.

How are Buffalo Bulls playing?

Buffalo Bulls have 6 wins and 8 losses in their last 14 games, with 318 points scored and 386 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Western Michigan Broncos playing?

Western Michigan Broncos have 12 wins and 4 losses in their last 16 games, with 408 points scored and 267 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Western Michigan Broncos vs Buffalo Bulls?

Buffalo +24 at -310, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Buffalo against W Michigan. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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